Time series aggregation, disaggregation and long memory

Large-scale aggregation and its inverse, disaggregation, problems are important in many fields of studies like macroeconomics, astronomy, hydrology and sociology. It was shown in Granger (1980) that a certain aggregation of random coefficient AR(1) models can lead to long memory output. Dacunha-Cas...

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Main Authors: Dmitrij Celov, Remigijus Leipus
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius University Press 2023-09-01
Series:Lietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys
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Online Access:https://www.zurnalai.vu.lt/LMR/article/view/30723
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author Dmitrij Celov
Remigijus Leipus
author_facet Dmitrij Celov
Remigijus Leipus
author_sort Dmitrij Celov
collection DOAJ
description Large-scale aggregation and its inverse, disaggregation, problems are important in many fields of studies like macroeconomics, astronomy, hydrology and sociology. It was shown in Granger (1980) that a certain aggregation of random coefficient AR(1) models can lead to long memory output. Dacunha-Castelle and Oppenheim (2001) explored the topic further, answering when and if a predefined long memory process could be obtained as the result of aggregation of a specific class of individual processes.  In this paper,  the disaggregation scheme of Leipus et al.  (2006) is briefly discussed. Then disaggregation into AR(1)  is analyzed further, resulting in a theorem that helps, under corresponding assumptions, to construct a mixture density for a given aggregated by AR(1) scheme process. Finally the theorem is illustrated by FARUMA mixture densityÆs example.
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publishDate 2023-09-01
publisher Vilnius University Press
record_format Article
series Lietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys
spelling doaj-art-00ca1a31b3864e679b828dd0db2c5e632025-02-11T18:12:39ZengVilnius University PressLietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys0132-28182335-898X2023-09-0146spec.10.15388/LMR.2006.30723Time series aggregation, disaggregation and long memoryDmitrij Celov0Remigijus Leipus1Vilnius UniversityVilnius University Large-scale aggregation and its inverse, disaggregation, problems are important in many fields of studies like macroeconomics, astronomy, hydrology and sociology. It was shown in Granger (1980) that a certain aggregation of random coefficient AR(1) models can lead to long memory output. Dacunha-Castelle and Oppenheim (2001) explored the topic further, answering when and if a predefined long memory process could be obtained as the result of aggregation of a specific class of individual processes.  In this paper,  the disaggregation scheme of Leipus et al.  (2006) is briefly discussed. Then disaggregation into AR(1)  is analyzed further, resulting in a theorem that helps, under corresponding assumptions, to construct a mixture density for a given aggregated by AR(1) scheme process. Finally the theorem is illustrated by FARUMA mixture densityÆs example. https://www.zurnalai.vu.lt/LMR/article/view/30723mixture densitydisaggregationAR(1) aggregationlong memory
spellingShingle Dmitrij Celov
Remigijus Leipus
Time series aggregation, disaggregation and long memory
Lietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys
mixture density
disaggregation
AR(1) aggregation
long memory
title Time series aggregation, disaggregation and long memory
title_full Time series aggregation, disaggregation and long memory
title_fullStr Time series aggregation, disaggregation and long memory
title_full_unstemmed Time series aggregation, disaggregation and long memory
title_short Time series aggregation, disaggregation and long memory
title_sort time series aggregation disaggregation and long memory
topic mixture density
disaggregation
AR(1) aggregation
long memory
url https://www.zurnalai.vu.lt/LMR/article/view/30723
work_keys_str_mv AT dmitrijcelov timeseriesaggregationdisaggregationandlongmemory
AT remigijusleipus timeseriesaggregationdisaggregationandlongmemory