Causality Analysis of Air Quality and Meteorological Parameters for PM2.5 Characteristics Determination: Evidence from Jakarta

Abstract The development of Jakarta as a metropolitan city worsens the PM2.5 concentration in the area, causes health problems for the citizens, and becomes a major public concern. In this study, we use Pearson correlation and convergent cross mapping (CCM) to analyze any correlation between air qua...

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Main Authors: Tri Istiana, Budhy Kurniawan, Santoso Soekirno, Alberth Nahas, Alvin Wihono, Danang Eko Nuryanto, Suko Prayitno Adi, Muhammad Lukman Hakim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2023-06-01
Series:Aerosol and Air Quality Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.230014
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author Tri Istiana
Budhy Kurniawan
Santoso Soekirno
Alberth Nahas
Alvin Wihono
Danang Eko Nuryanto
Suko Prayitno Adi
Muhammad Lukman Hakim
author_facet Tri Istiana
Budhy Kurniawan
Santoso Soekirno
Alberth Nahas
Alvin Wihono
Danang Eko Nuryanto
Suko Prayitno Adi
Muhammad Lukman Hakim
author_sort Tri Istiana
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The development of Jakarta as a metropolitan city worsens the PM2.5 concentration in the area, causes health problems for the citizens, and becomes a major public concern. In this study, we use Pearson correlation and convergent cross mapping (CCM) to analyze any correlation between air quality and individual meteorological parameters, as well as the local PM2.5 nonlinear coupling pattern at two different locations in Jakarta. The influence of meteorological parameters and other pollutants in various seasons can be used to determine the variability of PM2.5. We found that the PM2.5 concentration is affected by PM10, SO2, and NO2 pollutant and is negatively correlated with precipitation, relative humidity, and the wind speed in all variations of the season. Causality analysis using CCM showed that PM2.5 coupling patterns differ for every season. The highest causality values (ρ) for air quality parameters are 0.74 (PM10), 0.68 (SO2), 0.52 (wind speed), and 0.51 (temperature). In Central Jakarta and South Jakarta, the coupling pattern of PM2.5 concentration and air quality parameters increased during the DJF (December–February) season, while the coupling pattern of PM2.5 concentration and meteorological parameters increased during the DJF and MAM (March–May) seasons. During the JJA (June–August) season, most of the meteorological parameters did not have any impact, whereas the increased humidity during the SON (September– November) season also increased the PM2.5 concentration. In conclusion, the significant outcome of our research is to show that individual air quality and meteorological parameters had an influence on local PM2.5 concentrations in the Jakarta region. In addition, it has been proved that CCM can analyze mirage correlation better than other correlation methods.
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spelling doaj-art-07a215744cba4c7d8c61335eaf87027b2025-02-09T12:23:24ZengSpringerAerosol and Air Quality Research1680-85842071-14092023-06-0123911810.4209/aaqr.230014Causality Analysis of Air Quality and Meteorological Parameters for PM2.5 Characteristics Determination: Evidence from JakartaTri Istiana0Budhy Kurniawan1Santoso Soekirno2Alberth Nahas3Alvin Wihono4Danang Eko Nuryanto5Suko Prayitno Adi6Muhammad Lukman Hakim7Department of Physics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas IndonesiaDepartment of Physics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas IndonesiaDepartment of Physics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas IndonesiaIndonesia Agency for Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG)Department of Physics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas IndonesiaIndonesia Agency for Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG)Indonesia Agency for Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG)Indonesia Agency for Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG)Abstract The development of Jakarta as a metropolitan city worsens the PM2.5 concentration in the area, causes health problems for the citizens, and becomes a major public concern. In this study, we use Pearson correlation and convergent cross mapping (CCM) to analyze any correlation between air quality and individual meteorological parameters, as well as the local PM2.5 nonlinear coupling pattern at two different locations in Jakarta. The influence of meteorological parameters and other pollutants in various seasons can be used to determine the variability of PM2.5. We found that the PM2.5 concentration is affected by PM10, SO2, and NO2 pollutant and is negatively correlated with precipitation, relative humidity, and the wind speed in all variations of the season. Causality analysis using CCM showed that PM2.5 coupling patterns differ for every season. The highest causality values (ρ) for air quality parameters are 0.74 (PM10), 0.68 (SO2), 0.52 (wind speed), and 0.51 (temperature). In Central Jakarta and South Jakarta, the coupling pattern of PM2.5 concentration and air quality parameters increased during the DJF (December–February) season, while the coupling pattern of PM2.5 concentration and meteorological parameters increased during the DJF and MAM (March–May) seasons. During the JJA (June–August) season, most of the meteorological parameters did not have any impact, whereas the increased humidity during the SON (September– November) season also increased the PM2.5 concentration. In conclusion, the significant outcome of our research is to show that individual air quality and meteorological parameters had an influence on local PM2.5 concentrations in the Jakarta region. In addition, it has been proved that CCM can analyze mirage correlation better than other correlation methods.https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.230014PM2.5Pearson correlationCCMJakartanonlinear coupling
spellingShingle Tri Istiana
Budhy Kurniawan
Santoso Soekirno
Alberth Nahas
Alvin Wihono
Danang Eko Nuryanto
Suko Prayitno Adi
Muhammad Lukman Hakim
Causality Analysis of Air Quality and Meteorological Parameters for PM2.5 Characteristics Determination: Evidence from Jakarta
Aerosol and Air Quality Research
PM2.5
Pearson correlation
CCM
Jakarta
nonlinear coupling
title Causality Analysis of Air Quality and Meteorological Parameters for PM2.5 Characteristics Determination: Evidence from Jakarta
title_full Causality Analysis of Air Quality and Meteorological Parameters for PM2.5 Characteristics Determination: Evidence from Jakarta
title_fullStr Causality Analysis of Air Quality and Meteorological Parameters for PM2.5 Characteristics Determination: Evidence from Jakarta
title_full_unstemmed Causality Analysis of Air Quality and Meteorological Parameters for PM2.5 Characteristics Determination: Evidence from Jakarta
title_short Causality Analysis of Air Quality and Meteorological Parameters for PM2.5 Characteristics Determination: Evidence from Jakarta
title_sort causality analysis of air quality and meteorological parameters for pm2 5 characteristics determination evidence from jakarta
topic PM2.5
Pearson correlation
CCM
Jakarta
nonlinear coupling
url https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.230014
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