Reurbanization and Spatially Polarized Land Markets – An Analysis of Urban Land-Value Changes in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, 2012–2024

In recent years, land prices in Germany have skyrocketed to levels that were hardly thought possible. This has particularly affected prospering cities, where price increases of more than 100 % have often been recorded since the turn of the millennium. The underlying causes are highly controversial....

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Main Authors: Stefan Siedentop, Maximilian Schartmann
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: oekom verlag GmbH 2025-02-01
Series:Raumforschung und Raumordnung
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Online Access:https://rur.oekom.de/index.php/rur/article/view/2975
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author Stefan Siedentop
Maximilian Schartmann
author_facet Stefan Siedentop
Maximilian Schartmann
author_sort Stefan Siedentop
collection DOAJ
description In recent years, land prices in Germany have skyrocketed to levels that were hardly thought possible. This has particularly affected prospering cities, where price increases of more than 100 % have often been recorded since the turn of the millennium. The underlying causes are highly controversial. While some scholars point to the scarcity of developable land due to regulatory restrictions, others see the “financialization” of housing markets in the wake of the financial crisis and the massive influx of liquid capital into land and housing markets as the decisive driver. Against this background, this paper investigates the spatial patterns of land price dynamics in North Rhine-Westphalia during a phase of strong demographic and economic reurbanization. We used disaggregated data from the BORIS system for the years 2012 to 2024, which is available state-wide and georeferenced. Our empirical findings point to a significant trend of market polarization, with excessive growth rates in prospering metropolitan areas and real value losses in some rural areas. Overall, the paper offers new insights into the spatial patterns of urban land markets and possible driving factors explaining uneven developments.
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institution Kabale University
issn 0034-0111
1869-4179
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publisher oekom verlag GmbH
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series Raumforschung und Raumordnung
spelling doaj-art-11d832edf3664e10a4143be638cfae492025-02-11T23:11:26Zdeuoekom verlag GmbHRaumforschung und Raumordnung0034-01111869-41792025-02-0110.14512/rur.2975Reurbanization and Spatially Polarized Land Markets – An Analysis of Urban Land-Value Changes in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, 2012–2024Stefan Siedentop0Maximilian Schartmann1Technische Universität DortmundTechnische Universität Dortmund In recent years, land prices in Germany have skyrocketed to levels that were hardly thought possible. This has particularly affected prospering cities, where price increases of more than 100 % have often been recorded since the turn of the millennium. The underlying causes are highly controversial. While some scholars point to the scarcity of developable land due to regulatory restrictions, others see the “financialization” of housing markets in the wake of the financial crisis and the massive influx of liquid capital into land and housing markets as the decisive driver. Against this background, this paper investigates the spatial patterns of land price dynamics in North Rhine-Westphalia during a phase of strong demographic and economic reurbanization. We used disaggregated data from the BORIS system for the years 2012 to 2024, which is available state-wide and georeferenced. Our empirical findings point to a significant trend of market polarization, with excessive growth rates in prospering metropolitan areas and real value losses in some rural areas. Overall, the paper offers new insights into the spatial patterns of urban land markets and possible driving factors explaining uneven developments. https://rur.oekom.de/index.php/rur/article/view/2975Land pricesLand marketHousing costsLand useReurbanization North Rhine-Westphalia
spellingShingle Stefan Siedentop
Maximilian Schartmann
Reurbanization and Spatially Polarized Land Markets – An Analysis of Urban Land-Value Changes in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, 2012–2024
Raumforschung und Raumordnung
Land prices
Land market
Housing costs
Land use
Reurbanization
North Rhine-Westphalia
title Reurbanization and Spatially Polarized Land Markets – An Analysis of Urban Land-Value Changes in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, 2012–2024
title_full Reurbanization and Spatially Polarized Land Markets – An Analysis of Urban Land-Value Changes in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, 2012–2024
title_fullStr Reurbanization and Spatially Polarized Land Markets – An Analysis of Urban Land-Value Changes in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, 2012–2024
title_full_unstemmed Reurbanization and Spatially Polarized Land Markets – An Analysis of Urban Land-Value Changes in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, 2012–2024
title_short Reurbanization and Spatially Polarized Land Markets – An Analysis of Urban Land-Value Changes in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, 2012–2024
title_sort reurbanization and spatially polarized land markets an analysis of urban land value changes in north rhine westphalia germany 2012 2024
topic Land prices
Land market
Housing costs
Land use
Reurbanization
North Rhine-Westphalia
url https://rur.oekom.de/index.php/rur/article/view/2975
work_keys_str_mv AT stefansiedentop reurbanizationandspatiallypolarizedlandmarketsananalysisofurbanlandvaluechangesinnorthrhinewestphaliagermany20122024
AT maximilianschartmann reurbanizationandspatiallypolarizedlandmarketsananalysisofurbanlandvaluechangesinnorthrhinewestphaliagermany20122024