Machine learning suggests climate and seasonal definitions should change under global warming

Extreme and unseasonal temperature and precipitation events have increased worldwide. The greater frequency and variability of floods, heatwaves, and droughts challenge traditional definitions of climate periods as 30-year means. Machine learning (ML) studies, focusing on southern Austral...

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Main Authors: Milton Speer, Lance Leslie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Academia.edu Journals 2024-11-01
Series:Academia Environmental Sciences and Sustainability
Online Access:https://www.academia.edu/125737465/Machine_learning_suggests_climate_and_seasonal_definitions_should_be_changed_under_global_warming
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author Milton Speer
Lance Leslie
author_facet Milton Speer
Lance Leslie
author_sort Milton Speer
collection DOAJ
description Extreme and unseasonal temperature and precipitation events have increased worldwide. The greater frequency and variability of floods, heatwaves, and droughts challenge traditional definitions of climate periods as 30-year means. Machine learning (ML) studies, focusing on southern Australia, identified the dominant attributes of these precipitation and temperature events. The attributes are both local and remote climate drivers, amplified by global warming. Their impacts include longer, hotter warm seasons and shorter, drier wet seasons in Australia’s southern Mediterranean climate regions. In contrast, flooding has increased in coastal eastern Australia. The poleward contraction of mid-latitude westerly winds is a readily identifiable contributor. Improvements in climate models are expected to more accurately predict future phases of climate drivers. Because global warming is not uniform across the Earth’s surface, the revised definitions of climate will vary by region. In this work, we chose one clear example that supports the need for re-considering climate periods.
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spelling doaj-art-2501467d386945a88ebca5845e58fbd52025-02-10T23:04:46ZengAcademia.edu JournalsAcademia Environmental Sciences and Sustainability2997-60062024-11-011310.20935/AcadEnvSci7419Machine learning suggests climate and seasonal definitions should change under global warmingMilton Speer0Lance Leslie1School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, Faculty of Science, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2007, Australia.School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, Faculty of Science, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2007, Australia. Extreme and unseasonal temperature and precipitation events have increased worldwide. The greater frequency and variability of floods, heatwaves, and droughts challenge traditional definitions of climate periods as 30-year means. Machine learning (ML) studies, focusing on southern Australia, identified the dominant attributes of these precipitation and temperature events. The attributes are both local and remote climate drivers, amplified by global warming. Their impacts include longer, hotter warm seasons and shorter, drier wet seasons in Australia’s southern Mediterranean climate regions. In contrast, flooding has increased in coastal eastern Australia. The poleward contraction of mid-latitude westerly winds is a readily identifiable contributor. Improvements in climate models are expected to more accurately predict future phases of climate drivers. Because global warming is not uniform across the Earth’s surface, the revised definitions of climate will vary by region. In this work, we chose one clear example that supports the need for re-considering climate periods.https://www.academia.edu/125737465/Machine_learning_suggests_climate_and_seasonal_definitions_should_be_changed_under_global_warming
spellingShingle Milton Speer
Lance Leslie
Machine learning suggests climate and seasonal definitions should change under global warming
Academia Environmental Sciences and Sustainability
title Machine learning suggests climate and seasonal definitions should change under global warming
title_full Machine learning suggests climate and seasonal definitions should change under global warming
title_fullStr Machine learning suggests climate and seasonal definitions should change under global warming
title_full_unstemmed Machine learning suggests climate and seasonal definitions should change under global warming
title_short Machine learning suggests climate and seasonal definitions should change under global warming
title_sort machine learning suggests climate and seasonal definitions should change under global warming
url https://www.academia.edu/125737465/Machine_learning_suggests_climate_and_seasonal_definitions_should_be_changed_under_global_warming
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