Prior Information Shapes Perceptual Confidence

Decisional confidence refers to the subjective evaluation of the accuracy of a decision based on sensory information. While these judgments are typically grounded in the strength of evidence leading to a decision, they are also subjected to influence from top-down factors such as prior expectations....

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Main Authors: Luca Tarasi, Margherita Covelli, Chiara Tabarelli de Fatis, Vincenzo Romei
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ubiquity Press 2025-01-01
Series:Journal of Cognition
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Online Access:https://account.journalofcognition.org/index.php/up-j-jc/article/view/417
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author Luca Tarasi
Margherita Covelli
Chiara Tabarelli de Fatis
Vincenzo Romei
author_facet Luca Tarasi
Margherita Covelli
Chiara Tabarelli de Fatis
Vincenzo Romei
author_sort Luca Tarasi
collection DOAJ
description Decisional confidence refers to the subjective evaluation of the accuracy of a decision based on sensory information. While these judgments are typically grounded in the strength of evidence leading to a decision, they are also subjected to influence from top-down factors such as prior expectations. Previous research has highlighted the impact of prior information on decision parameters such as reaction times and decision criteria placement. However, a comprehensive understanding of how prior information shapes confidence ratings is still lacking. In this study, we manipulate prior knowledge by inducing varying levels of target probability expectation (low: 33%, random: 50%, high: 67%) in a perceptual detection task. In each trial both type-1 (detection) and type-2 (confidence) responses were recorded. First, we replicate previous findings, demonstrating that decisional priors impact decision criteria but not task sensitivity. Secondly, we reveal the strong effect that prior expectations exert on type-2 decisions, with this influence being moderated by a congruency effect between the given prior, the actual stimulus presented, and the provided response. Moreover, we find that confidence is higher in correct compared to incorrect responses, with low-probability trials leading to higher confidence judgments in correct choices compared to random and liberal trials. Finally, we unveil that prior-dependent modulation rates in criterion and confidence were positively associated. These results underscore the intricate interplay between prior expectations, decision-making, and confidence levels, demonstrating that what we perceive is not solely a data-driven phenomenon but can be already shaped by the available information about the state of the world.
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spelling doaj-art-322f470f6a984e4093144f89feac80422025-02-11T05:36:32ZengUbiquity PressJournal of Cognition2514-48202025-01-0181111110.5334/joc.417416Prior Information Shapes Perceptual ConfidenceLuca Tarasi0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4977-3173Margherita Covelli1https://orcid.org/0009-0009-5890-9114Chiara Tabarelli de Fatis2https://orcid.org/0009-0004-1586-2233Vincenzo Romei3https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1214-2316Dipartimento di Psicologia, Università di Bologna and Centro studi e ricerche in Neuroscienze Cognitive, Università di Bologna, CesenaDipartimento di Psicologia, Università di Bologna and Centro studi e ricerche in Neuroscienze Cognitive, Università di Bologna, CesenaDipartimento di Psicologia, Università di Bologna and Centro studi e ricerche in Neuroscienze Cognitive, Università di Bologna, CesenaDipartimento di Psicologia, Università di Bologna and Centro studi e ricerche in Neuroscienze Cognitive, Università di Bologna, Cesena, IT; Universidad Antonio de Nebrija, MadridDecisional confidence refers to the subjective evaluation of the accuracy of a decision based on sensory information. While these judgments are typically grounded in the strength of evidence leading to a decision, they are also subjected to influence from top-down factors such as prior expectations. Previous research has highlighted the impact of prior information on decision parameters such as reaction times and decision criteria placement. However, a comprehensive understanding of how prior information shapes confidence ratings is still lacking. In this study, we manipulate prior knowledge by inducing varying levels of target probability expectation (low: 33%, random: 50%, high: 67%) in a perceptual detection task. In each trial both type-1 (detection) and type-2 (confidence) responses were recorded. First, we replicate previous findings, demonstrating that decisional priors impact decision criteria but not task sensitivity. Secondly, we reveal the strong effect that prior expectations exert on type-2 decisions, with this influence being moderated by a congruency effect between the given prior, the actual stimulus presented, and the provided response. Moreover, we find that confidence is higher in correct compared to incorrect responses, with low-probability trials leading to higher confidence judgments in correct choices compared to random and liberal trials. Finally, we unveil that prior-dependent modulation rates in criterion and confidence were positively associated. These results underscore the intricate interplay between prior expectations, decision-making, and confidence levels, demonstrating that what we perceive is not solely a data-driven phenomenon but can be already shaped by the available information about the state of the world.https://account.journalofcognition.org/index.php/up-j-jc/article/view/417predictive codingperceptual decision-makingperceptual confidencemetacognitionsignal detection theory
spellingShingle Luca Tarasi
Margherita Covelli
Chiara Tabarelli de Fatis
Vincenzo Romei
Prior Information Shapes Perceptual Confidence
Journal of Cognition
predictive coding
perceptual decision-making
perceptual confidence
metacognition
signal detection theory
title Prior Information Shapes Perceptual Confidence
title_full Prior Information Shapes Perceptual Confidence
title_fullStr Prior Information Shapes Perceptual Confidence
title_full_unstemmed Prior Information Shapes Perceptual Confidence
title_short Prior Information Shapes Perceptual Confidence
title_sort prior information shapes perceptual confidence
topic predictive coding
perceptual decision-making
perceptual confidence
metacognition
signal detection theory
url https://account.journalofcognition.org/index.php/up-j-jc/article/view/417
work_keys_str_mv AT lucatarasi priorinformationshapesperceptualconfidence
AT margheritacovelli priorinformationshapesperceptualconfidence
AT chiaratabarellidefatis priorinformationshapesperceptualconfidence
AT vincenzoromei priorinformationshapesperceptualconfidence