Exploring the non-linear impact of information and communication technology, globalization, and geopolitical risks on poverty in Pakistan

The discussion around globalization often overlooks historical context and real-world dynamics, especially in the context of global development. This study examines the relationship between information and communication technology (ICT), geopolitical risks (GPR), and globalization in Pakistan from 1...

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Main Authors: Nabila Khurshid, Nabila Akram, Mudassar Rashid
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Research in Globalization
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590051X2500005X
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author Nabila Khurshid
Nabila Akram
Mudassar Rashid
author_facet Nabila Khurshid
Nabila Akram
Mudassar Rashid
author_sort Nabila Khurshid
collection DOAJ
description The discussion around globalization often overlooks historical context and real-world dynamics, especially in the context of global development. This study examines the relationship between information and communication technology (ICT), geopolitical risks (GPR), and globalization in Pakistan from 1980 to 2022, with a focus on their impact on poverty. Using the Non-linear Autoregressive Distributive Lag (NARDL) model, the findings reveal that improvements in ICT infrastructure (ICT_POS) significantly reduce poverty, while setbacks in ICT (ICT_NEG) have minimal impact. On the other hand, rising geopolitical risks (GPR_POS) worsen poverty by reducing economic activity, investment, and trade, with negative geopolitical events (GPR_NEG) further exacerbating the issue. Positive economic globalization (EGB_POS) also plays a key role in reducing poverty, while the effects of negative globalization (EGB_NEG) remain unclear. The study recommends enhancing ICT infrastructure and accessibility, particularly in poverty-stricken regions, and addressing geopolitical risks through political stability and conflict resolution. These measures are essential for promoting economic growth and reducing poverty.
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spelling doaj-art-4a85f3b929c3490dad317990de8444912025-02-09T05:01:02ZengElsevierResearch in Globalization2590-051X2025-06-0110100272Exploring the non-linear impact of information and communication technology, globalization, and geopolitical risks on poverty in PakistanNabila Khurshid0Nabila Akram1Mudassar Rashid2Economics Department, Comsats University Islamabad, Pakistan; Corresponding author.Economics Department, Comsats University Islamabad, PakistanEconomics Department, Comsats University Islamabad, PakistanThe discussion around globalization often overlooks historical context and real-world dynamics, especially in the context of global development. This study examines the relationship between information and communication technology (ICT), geopolitical risks (GPR), and globalization in Pakistan from 1980 to 2022, with a focus on their impact on poverty. Using the Non-linear Autoregressive Distributive Lag (NARDL) model, the findings reveal that improvements in ICT infrastructure (ICT_POS) significantly reduce poverty, while setbacks in ICT (ICT_NEG) have minimal impact. On the other hand, rising geopolitical risks (GPR_POS) worsen poverty by reducing economic activity, investment, and trade, with negative geopolitical events (GPR_NEG) further exacerbating the issue. Positive economic globalization (EGB_POS) also plays a key role in reducing poverty, while the effects of negative globalization (EGB_NEG) remain unclear. The study recommends enhancing ICT infrastructure and accessibility, particularly in poverty-stricken regions, and addressing geopolitical risks through political stability and conflict resolution. These measures are essential for promoting economic growth and reducing poverty.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590051X2500005XI32O12
spellingShingle Nabila Khurshid
Nabila Akram
Mudassar Rashid
Exploring the non-linear impact of information and communication technology, globalization, and geopolitical risks on poverty in Pakistan
Research in Globalization
I32
O12
title Exploring the non-linear impact of information and communication technology, globalization, and geopolitical risks on poverty in Pakistan
title_full Exploring the non-linear impact of information and communication technology, globalization, and geopolitical risks on poverty in Pakistan
title_fullStr Exploring the non-linear impact of information and communication technology, globalization, and geopolitical risks on poverty in Pakistan
title_full_unstemmed Exploring the non-linear impact of information and communication technology, globalization, and geopolitical risks on poverty in Pakistan
title_short Exploring the non-linear impact of information and communication technology, globalization, and geopolitical risks on poverty in Pakistan
title_sort exploring the non linear impact of information and communication technology globalization and geopolitical risks on poverty in pakistan
topic I32
O12
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590051X2500005X
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AT mudassarrashid exploringthenonlinearimpactofinformationandcommunicationtechnologyglobalizationandgeopoliticalrisksonpovertyinpakistan