Interactive relationship between carbon flow and economic growth and influencing factors based on land use transition

[Objective] Clarifying the interactive relationship between carbon flow and economic growth is of great significance for maintaining the balance between natural ecosystems and socio-economic systems, guiding the low-carbon transformation and sustainable development of the socio-economic system, as w...

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Main Author: ZHANG Changren, HAN Zenglin, ZHAO Yuqing, YAN Xiaolu
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Science Press, PR China 2025-01-01
Series:Ziyuan Kexue
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Online Access:https://www.resci.cn/fileup/1007-7588/PDF/1738985570935-1487655427.pdf
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author ZHANG Changren, HAN Zenglin, ZHAO Yuqing, YAN Xiaolu
author_facet ZHANG Changren, HAN Zenglin, ZHAO Yuqing, YAN Xiaolu
author_sort ZHANG Changren, HAN Zenglin, ZHAO Yuqing, YAN Xiaolu
collection DOAJ
description [Objective] Clarifying the interactive relationship between carbon flow and economic growth is of great significance for maintaining the balance between natural ecosystems and socio-economic systems, guiding the low-carbon transformation and sustainable development of the socio-economic system, as well as aiding the achievement of “dual carbon” targets. [Methods] This paper is based on land use, socio-economic, and energy consumption data, employing carbon flow model, entropy TOPSIS method, coupling coordination degree, geographical detector, and geographically weighted regression models to analyze the spatial evolution and influencing factors of the coupling coordination relationship between carbon flow caused by land use transition and economic growth in 30 provinces and cities of China from 2000 to 2020. [Results] The study indicates that: (1) The net carbon flow of 30 provinces and cities in China is mainly dominated by negative carbon flow, which shows an upward and then downward trend, increasing from 7.3×10<sup>8</sup> t in 2000-2005 to 2.0×10<sup>9</sup> t in 2010-2015, and 2015-2020, the carbon flow declined rapidly to 9.1×10<sup>8</sup> t. During the study period, the negative carbon flow in the eastern coastal provinces was higher than that in other provinces. (2) The comprehensive evaluation index of economic growth of 30 provinces in China in 2000-2020 shows an overall upward trend, with the average value increasing from 0.08 to 0.21. The coupling coordination level rises first from 0.79 in 2000-2005 to 0.93 in 2010-2015, and then declines to 0.87 during 2015-2020. Compared with other provinces, the eastern coastal provinces have a higher level of coupling coordination. (3) The impact of urbanization levels at different dimensions on the coupling coordination relationship varies. The positive influence of economic urbanization and social urbanization on the coupling coordination relationship is gradually weakening, while that of land urbanization is strengthening. [Conclusion] Therefore, it is necessary to formulate land use optimization policies based on the regional differences according to the coupling coordination relationship between carbon flow and economic growth and the spatio-temporal differentiation characteristics of influencing factors.
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publisher Science Press, PR China
record_format Article
series Ziyuan Kexue
spelling doaj-art-54878c88203d4cde8f0bd7f3014842f22025-02-08T08:51:07ZzhoScience Press, PR ChinaZiyuan Kexue1007-75882025-01-0147116718110.18402/resci.2025.01.13Interactive relationship between carbon flow and economic growth and influencing factors based on land use transitionZHANG Changren, HAN Zenglin, ZHAO Yuqing, YAN Xiaolu01. School of Geography, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China;2. Key Research Base of Humanities and Social Sciences of the Ministry of Education, Institute of Marine Sustainable Development, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China;3. University Collaborative Innovation Center of Marine Economy High-Quality Development of Liaoning Province, Dalian 116029, China[Objective] Clarifying the interactive relationship between carbon flow and economic growth is of great significance for maintaining the balance between natural ecosystems and socio-economic systems, guiding the low-carbon transformation and sustainable development of the socio-economic system, as well as aiding the achievement of “dual carbon” targets. [Methods] This paper is based on land use, socio-economic, and energy consumption data, employing carbon flow model, entropy TOPSIS method, coupling coordination degree, geographical detector, and geographically weighted regression models to analyze the spatial evolution and influencing factors of the coupling coordination relationship between carbon flow caused by land use transition and economic growth in 30 provinces and cities of China from 2000 to 2020. [Results] The study indicates that: (1) The net carbon flow of 30 provinces and cities in China is mainly dominated by negative carbon flow, which shows an upward and then downward trend, increasing from 7.3×10<sup>8</sup> t in 2000-2005 to 2.0×10<sup>9</sup> t in 2010-2015, and 2015-2020, the carbon flow declined rapidly to 9.1×10<sup>8</sup> t. During the study period, the negative carbon flow in the eastern coastal provinces was higher than that in other provinces. (2) The comprehensive evaluation index of economic growth of 30 provinces in China in 2000-2020 shows an overall upward trend, with the average value increasing from 0.08 to 0.21. The coupling coordination level rises first from 0.79 in 2000-2005 to 0.93 in 2010-2015, and then declines to 0.87 during 2015-2020. Compared with other provinces, the eastern coastal provinces have a higher level of coupling coordination. (3) The impact of urbanization levels at different dimensions on the coupling coordination relationship varies. The positive influence of economic urbanization and social urbanization on the coupling coordination relationship is gradually weakening, while that of land urbanization is strengthening. [Conclusion] Therefore, it is necessary to formulate land use optimization policies based on the regional differences according to the coupling coordination relationship between carbon flow and economic growth and the spatio-temporal differentiation characteristics of influencing factors.https://www.resci.cn/fileup/1007-7588/PDF/1738985570935-1487655427.pdfland use transition|carbon flow|economic growth|coupling coordination|“dual carbon” goals
spellingShingle ZHANG Changren, HAN Zenglin, ZHAO Yuqing, YAN Xiaolu
Interactive relationship between carbon flow and economic growth and influencing factors based on land use transition
Ziyuan Kexue
land use transition|carbon flow|economic growth|coupling coordination|“dual carbon” goals
title Interactive relationship between carbon flow and economic growth and influencing factors based on land use transition
title_full Interactive relationship between carbon flow and economic growth and influencing factors based on land use transition
title_fullStr Interactive relationship between carbon flow and economic growth and influencing factors based on land use transition
title_full_unstemmed Interactive relationship between carbon flow and economic growth and influencing factors based on land use transition
title_short Interactive relationship between carbon flow and economic growth and influencing factors based on land use transition
title_sort interactive relationship between carbon flow and economic growth and influencing factors based on land use transition
topic land use transition|carbon flow|economic growth|coupling coordination|“dual carbon” goals
url https://www.resci.cn/fileup/1007-7588/PDF/1738985570935-1487655427.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT zhangchangrenhanzenglinzhaoyuqingyanxiaolu interactiverelationshipbetweencarbonflowandeconomicgrowthandinfluencingfactorsbasedonlandusetransition