Expert perspectives on incorporating justice considerations into integrated assessment modelling

Abstract There is growing criticism aimed towards global integrated assessment models (IAMs) and an ongoing academic debate on how justice considerations can be incorporated in those models. By relying on 39 interviews with a multidisciplinary group of experts, we map three shapes of change containi...

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Main Authors: Sean Low, Elina Brutschin, Chad M. Baum, Benjamin K. Sovacool
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-02-01
Series:npj Climate Action
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00218-5
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author Sean Low
Elina Brutschin
Chad M. Baum
Benjamin K. Sovacool
author_facet Sean Low
Elina Brutschin
Chad M. Baum
Benjamin K. Sovacool
author_sort Sean Low
collection DOAJ
description Abstract There is growing criticism aimed towards global integrated assessment models (IAMs) and an ongoing academic debate on how justice considerations can be incorporated in those models. By relying on 39 interviews with a multidisciplinary group of experts, we map three shapes of change containing multiple avenues for incorporating justice considerations into IAM tools and scenarios: to improve representation within IAMs (Shape 1), to couple to new models and expand points of access to disciplines and users (Shape 2), and to refine the role of IAMs within a wider array of practices (Shape 3). These shapes reflect multi-disciplinary agreements and divergences over the capacity of IAMs to incorporate justice considerations—regarding kinds of representation, greater involvement of new disciplines and users, and the objective of mitigation scenarios in climate policy. Our analysis is among the first to describe and integrate a variety of opinions from different communities, fostering a more holistic understanding of the opportunities and challenges of incorporating justice into IAMs.
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spelling doaj-art-5af7e1fa9ca7454a9d41035a32cf13e62025-02-09T13:00:13ZengNature Portfolionpj Climate Action2731-98142025-02-014111210.1038/s44168-025-00218-5Expert perspectives on incorporating justice considerations into integrated assessment modellingSean Low0Elina Brutschin1Chad M. Baum2Benjamin K. Sovacool3Department of Business Development and Technology, Aarhus UniversityInstitute for Applied Systems AnalysisDepartment of Business Development and Technology, Aarhus UniversityDepartment of Business Development and Technology, Aarhus UniversityAbstract There is growing criticism aimed towards global integrated assessment models (IAMs) and an ongoing academic debate on how justice considerations can be incorporated in those models. By relying on 39 interviews with a multidisciplinary group of experts, we map three shapes of change containing multiple avenues for incorporating justice considerations into IAM tools and scenarios: to improve representation within IAMs (Shape 1), to couple to new models and expand points of access to disciplines and users (Shape 2), and to refine the role of IAMs within a wider array of practices (Shape 3). These shapes reflect multi-disciplinary agreements and divergences over the capacity of IAMs to incorporate justice considerations—regarding kinds of representation, greater involvement of new disciplines and users, and the objective of mitigation scenarios in climate policy. Our analysis is among the first to describe and integrate a variety of opinions from different communities, fostering a more holistic understanding of the opportunities and challenges of incorporating justice into IAMs.https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00218-5
spellingShingle Sean Low
Elina Brutschin
Chad M. Baum
Benjamin K. Sovacool
Expert perspectives on incorporating justice considerations into integrated assessment modelling
npj Climate Action
title Expert perspectives on incorporating justice considerations into integrated assessment modelling
title_full Expert perspectives on incorporating justice considerations into integrated assessment modelling
title_fullStr Expert perspectives on incorporating justice considerations into integrated assessment modelling
title_full_unstemmed Expert perspectives on incorporating justice considerations into integrated assessment modelling
title_short Expert perspectives on incorporating justice considerations into integrated assessment modelling
title_sort expert perspectives on incorporating justice considerations into integrated assessment modelling
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00218-5
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AT elinabrutschin expertperspectivesonincorporatingjusticeconsiderationsintointegratedassessmentmodelling
AT chadmbaum expertperspectivesonincorporatingjusticeconsiderationsintointegratedassessmentmodelling
AT benjaminksovacool expertperspectivesonincorporatingjusticeconsiderationsintointegratedassessmentmodelling