Benford’s Law and transparency: an analysis of municipal expenditure

This study aims to ascertain an adherence between the level of municipal transparency and the application of Benford's Law in implementing the municipal expenditure. Therefore, two municipalities in the state of Goiás were selected, one with a higher and one a lower level of transparency, accor...

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Main Authors: Ricardo Sartori Cella, Ercilio Zanolla
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: FUCAPE Business School 2018-01-01
Series:BBR: Brazilian Business Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123056181002
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author Ricardo Sartori Cella
Ercilio Zanolla
author_facet Ricardo Sartori Cella
Ercilio Zanolla
author_sort Ricardo Sartori Cella
collection DOAJ
description This study aims to ascertain an adherence between the level of municipal transparency and the application of Benford's Law in implementing the municipal expenditure. Therefore, two municipalities in the state of Goiás were selected, one with a higher and one a lower level of transparency, according to the National Transparency Ranking of the Federal Public Ministry, of 2016. Then, we performed Z and chi-square tests on the expenses engaged in the first four months of 2016 to check for incompliances with the Benford’s Law. Based on the data analyzed we were able to conclude that: the municipality with greater transparency has greater conformity with Benford’s Law; the municipality with less transparency showed greatest discrepancies between the expected and observed frequencies; the municipality with less transparency showed higher likelihood of irregularities in the execution of expenditures, compared to the municipality with greater transparency. Both municipalities showed discrepancies regarding Benford's Law, differing from each other only by the degree of calculated divergences from the model.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1807-734X
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series BBR: Brazilian Business Review
spelling doaj-art-5b573536ecce4e1bb636b149185a27b72025-02-06T23:39:32ZengFUCAPE Business SchoolBBR: Brazilian Business Review1807-734X2018-01-0115433134710.15728/bbr.2018.15.4.2Benford’s Law and transparency: an analysis of municipal expenditureRicardo Sartori CellaErcilio ZanollaThis study aims to ascertain an adherence between the level of municipal transparency and the application of Benford's Law in implementing the municipal expenditure. Therefore, two municipalities in the state of Goiás were selected, one with a higher and one a lower level of transparency, according to the National Transparency Ranking of the Federal Public Ministry, of 2016. Then, we performed Z and chi-square tests on the expenses engaged in the first four months of 2016 to check for incompliances with the Benford’s Law. Based on the data analyzed we were able to conclude that: the municipality with greater transparency has greater conformity with Benford’s Law; the municipality with less transparency showed greatest discrepancies between the expected and observed frequencies; the municipality with less transparency showed higher likelihood of irregularities in the execution of expenditures, compared to the municipality with greater transparency. Both municipalities showed discrepancies regarding Benford's Law, differing from each other only by the degree of calculated divergences from the model.http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123056181002data auditingranking of municipal transparencyaccounting fraud detectionmunicipal expenditurescorruption
spellingShingle Ricardo Sartori Cella
Ercilio Zanolla
Benford’s Law and transparency: an analysis of municipal expenditure
BBR: Brazilian Business Review
data auditing
ranking of municipal transparency
accounting fraud detection
municipal expenditures
corruption
title Benford’s Law and transparency: an analysis of municipal expenditure
title_full Benford’s Law and transparency: an analysis of municipal expenditure
title_fullStr Benford’s Law and transparency: an analysis of municipal expenditure
title_full_unstemmed Benford’s Law and transparency: an analysis of municipal expenditure
title_short Benford’s Law and transparency: an analysis of municipal expenditure
title_sort benford s law and transparency an analysis of municipal expenditure
topic data auditing
ranking of municipal transparency
accounting fraud detection
municipal expenditures
corruption
url http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123056181002
work_keys_str_mv AT ricardosartoricella benfordslawandtransparencyananalysisofmunicipalexpenditure
AT erciliozanolla benfordslawandtransparencyananalysisofmunicipalexpenditure