Value Premium and Country Risk as Dimensions to Estimate Conditional Returns: a Study of the Brazilian Market

Asset pricing is a widely explored theme in the financial literature. Nevertheless, the phenomenon of value premium is still controversial, since although easily detected in developed and emerging markets, little is know about the economic forces that explain its existence. In this context, this art...

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Main Authors: Lilian de Castro Medeiros, Aureliano Angel Bressan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: FUCAPE Business School 2015-01-01
Series:BBR: Brazilian Business Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123041057004
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author Lilian de Castro Medeiros
Aureliano Angel Bressan
author_facet Lilian de Castro Medeiros
Aureliano Angel Bressan
author_sort Lilian de Castro Medeiros
collection DOAJ
description Asset pricing is a widely explored theme in the financial literature. Nevertheless, the phenomenon of value premium is still controversial, since although easily detected in developed and emerging markets, little is know about the economic forces that explain its existence. In this context, this article examines value premium in the Brazilian market and investigates the influence of the country risk variable as an additional risk factor for estimating conditional returns in this market not captured by value premium. For that, we employ a five-factor model, formulated by adding the country risk factor to the model of Carhart (1997). We apply the statistical procedure adopted by Fama & French (1993) to the period between 1994 and 2012, with data on nonfinancial companies listed on the BM&FBovespa. The results confirm the existence of value premium in the Brazilian market, and country risk and value premium together are significant factors to explain conditional returns.
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series BBR: Brazilian Business Review
spelling doaj-art-60a63a5b0e584b4fb9dbae873b4a76d52025-02-06T23:39:30ZengFUCAPE Business SchoolBBR: Brazilian Business Review1807-734X2015-01-011236790Value Premium and Country Risk as Dimensions to Estimate Conditional Returns: a Study of the Brazilian MarketLilian de Castro MedeirosAureliano Angel BressanAsset pricing is a widely explored theme in the financial literature. Nevertheless, the phenomenon of value premium is still controversial, since although easily detected in developed and emerging markets, little is know about the economic forces that explain its existence. In this context, this article examines value premium in the Brazilian market and investigates the influence of the country risk variable as an additional risk factor for estimating conditional returns in this market not captured by value premium. For that, we employ a five-factor model, formulated by adding the country risk factor to the model of Carhart (1997). We apply the statistical procedure adopted by Fama & French (1993) to the period between 1994 and 2012, with data on nonfinancial companies listed on the BM&FBovespa. The results confirm the existence of value premium in the Brazilian market, and country risk and value premium together are significant factors to explain conditional returns.http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123041057004value premiumcountry riskconditional returns
spellingShingle Lilian de Castro Medeiros
Aureliano Angel Bressan
Value Premium and Country Risk as Dimensions to Estimate Conditional Returns: a Study of the Brazilian Market
BBR: Brazilian Business Review
value premium
country risk
conditional returns
title Value Premium and Country Risk as Dimensions to Estimate Conditional Returns: a Study of the Brazilian Market
title_full Value Premium and Country Risk as Dimensions to Estimate Conditional Returns: a Study of the Brazilian Market
title_fullStr Value Premium and Country Risk as Dimensions to Estimate Conditional Returns: a Study of the Brazilian Market
title_full_unstemmed Value Premium and Country Risk as Dimensions to Estimate Conditional Returns: a Study of the Brazilian Market
title_short Value Premium and Country Risk as Dimensions to Estimate Conditional Returns: a Study of the Brazilian Market
title_sort value premium and country risk as dimensions to estimate conditional returns a study of the brazilian market
topic value premium
country risk
conditional returns
url http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123041057004
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