Balancing on carbon storage and ecological security in urban areas: The case of Dongguan city, China
Land-use changes from rapid coastal urban expansion fragments ecosystems and reduces carbon storage. Current and future national urban policies must therefore enhance carbon sink functions of ecosystems while maintaining spatial ecological structure networks. Here, we assessed current policies again...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2025-06-01
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| Series: | Sustainable Futures |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188825000383 |
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| author | Xinyi Wang Fenzhen Su Fengqin Yan Vincent Lyne Yikun Cui Bin He Rong Fan |
| author_facet | Xinyi Wang Fenzhen Su Fengqin Yan Vincent Lyne Yikun Cui Bin He Rong Fan |
| author_sort | Xinyi Wang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Land-use changes from rapid coastal urban expansion fragments ecosystems and reduces carbon storage. Current and future national urban policies must therefore enhance carbon sink functions of ecosystems while maintaining spatial ecological structure networks. Here, we assessed current policies against future scenarios using systems thinking and land-use change simulation coupled to carbon-storage accounting. Three future scenarios for Dongguan City across ecological Natural Evolution Scenario, economic Economic Priority Scenario and balanced Harmonious Development Scenario show latter partly controls carbon loss through more robust ecological networks. However, by 2030, all scenarios show construction land expanding sharply across cultivated land and grassland, and carbon storage declines. Future urban expansion therefore seriously challenges effectiveness of current spatial policies which must be enhanced for future low carbon urban developments and protection of associated ecosystem connectivities. This study analyzed the maintenance of habitat connectivity and carbon storage under different development policies during urbanization and discussed the significance of policies in maintaining the stability of urban ecological networks. With this effort, a new perspective on the maintenance of ecological security patterns is provided, serving as a fundamental reference for future urban planning decisions. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-60b3b0b1ded74064870d23066fdffbe6 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2666-1888 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-06-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Sustainable Futures |
| spelling | doaj-art-60b3b0b1ded74064870d23066fdffbe62025-02-07T04:48:21ZengElsevierSustainable Futures2666-18882025-06-019100468Balancing on carbon storage and ecological security in urban areas: The case of Dongguan city, ChinaXinyi Wang0Fenzhen Su1Fengqin Yan2Vincent Lyne3Yikun Cui4Bin He5Rong Fan6State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100049, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100049, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100049, China; Corresponding author at: State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.IMAS-Hobart, University of Tasmania, Tasmania 7004, AustraliaState Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; School of Geography and Ocean Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; School of Geography and Ocean Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100049, ChinaLand-use changes from rapid coastal urban expansion fragments ecosystems and reduces carbon storage. Current and future national urban policies must therefore enhance carbon sink functions of ecosystems while maintaining spatial ecological structure networks. Here, we assessed current policies against future scenarios using systems thinking and land-use change simulation coupled to carbon-storage accounting. Three future scenarios for Dongguan City across ecological Natural Evolution Scenario, economic Economic Priority Scenario and balanced Harmonious Development Scenario show latter partly controls carbon loss through more robust ecological networks. However, by 2030, all scenarios show construction land expanding sharply across cultivated land and grassland, and carbon storage declines. Future urban expansion therefore seriously challenges effectiveness of current spatial policies which must be enhanced for future low carbon urban developments and protection of associated ecosystem connectivities. This study analyzed the maintenance of habitat connectivity and carbon storage under different development policies during urbanization and discussed the significance of policies in maintaining the stability of urban ecological networks. With this effort, a new perspective on the maintenance of ecological security patterns is provided, serving as a fundamental reference for future urban planning decisions.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188825000383Spatial control policyScenario simulationCarbon storageEcosystem security patternCoastal development |
| spellingShingle | Xinyi Wang Fenzhen Su Fengqin Yan Vincent Lyne Yikun Cui Bin He Rong Fan Balancing on carbon storage and ecological security in urban areas: The case of Dongguan city, China Sustainable Futures Spatial control policy Scenario simulation Carbon storage Ecosystem security pattern Coastal development |
| title | Balancing on carbon storage and ecological security in urban areas: The case of Dongguan city, China |
| title_full | Balancing on carbon storage and ecological security in urban areas: The case of Dongguan city, China |
| title_fullStr | Balancing on carbon storage and ecological security in urban areas: The case of Dongguan city, China |
| title_full_unstemmed | Balancing on carbon storage and ecological security in urban areas: The case of Dongguan city, China |
| title_short | Balancing on carbon storage and ecological security in urban areas: The case of Dongguan city, China |
| title_sort | balancing on carbon storage and ecological security in urban areas the case of dongguan city china |
| topic | Spatial control policy Scenario simulation Carbon storage Ecosystem security pattern Coastal development |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188825000383 |
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