Consumer negative opinions on stock returns: evidence from E-commerce reviews in China

Abstract This study investigates the significance of e-commerce consumer opinions regarding value in China’s A-share market. By analyzing a large dataset comprising over 18 million online consumer reviews on JD.com, we demonstrate that sentiments expressed in e-commerce reviews can influence stock r...

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Main Authors: Danni Wu, Zhenkun Zhou, Zhi Su
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2025-02-01
Series:Financial Innovation
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00746-9
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author Danni Wu
Zhenkun Zhou
Zhi Su
author_facet Danni Wu
Zhenkun Zhou
Zhi Su
author_sort Danni Wu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This study investigates the significance of e-commerce consumer opinions regarding value in China’s A-share market. By analyzing a large dataset comprising over 18 million online consumer reviews on JD.com, we demonstrate that sentiments expressed in e-commerce reviews can influence stock returns. This indicates that consumer opinions on the e-commerce platform contain valuable information that can impact the stock market. Our findings show that Consumer Negative Sentiment Tendency (CNST) and One-Star Tendency (OST) have a negative effect on expected stock returns, even after controlling for firm characteristics such as market risk, illiquidity, idiosyncratic volatility, and asset growth. Further analysis indicates that CNST demonstrates stronger predictive power within the home appliance industry, under high sentiment conditions, in growth companies, and among firms with lower accounting transparency. We also find that CNST negatively predicts revenue surprises, earnings surprises, and cash flow shocks. These results suggest that consumer opinions and sentiments derived from e-commerce reviews highlight firms’ intrinsic worth and prospects. Future research could explore how firms, including suppliers and logistics companies, can leverage the information conveyed by consumer opinions on e-commerce platforms.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2199-4730
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publishDate 2025-02-01
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spelling doaj-art-7663660970c04846b6dbf36a4dd99d3a2025-02-09T12:51:10ZengSpringerOpenFinancial Innovation2199-47302025-02-0111112810.1186/s40854-024-00746-9Consumer negative opinions on stock returns: evidence from E-commerce reviews in ChinaDanni Wu0Zhenkun Zhou1Zhi Su2China Energy Insurance Brokers (Beijing) Co., Ltd., China EnergySchool of Statistics, Capital University of Economics and BusinessSchool of Statistics and Mathematics, Central University of Finance and EconomicsAbstract This study investigates the significance of e-commerce consumer opinions regarding value in China’s A-share market. By analyzing a large dataset comprising over 18 million online consumer reviews on JD.com, we demonstrate that sentiments expressed in e-commerce reviews can influence stock returns. This indicates that consumer opinions on the e-commerce platform contain valuable information that can impact the stock market. Our findings show that Consumer Negative Sentiment Tendency (CNST) and One-Star Tendency (OST) have a negative effect on expected stock returns, even after controlling for firm characteristics such as market risk, illiquidity, idiosyncratic volatility, and asset growth. Further analysis indicates that CNST demonstrates stronger predictive power within the home appliance industry, under high sentiment conditions, in growth companies, and among firms with lower accounting transparency. We also find that CNST negatively predicts revenue surprises, earnings surprises, and cash flow shocks. These results suggest that consumer opinions and sentiments derived from e-commerce reviews highlight firms’ intrinsic worth and prospects. Future research could explore how firms, including suppliers and logistics companies, can leverage the information conveyed by consumer opinions on e-commerce platforms.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00746-9E-commerce reviewsConsumer opinionsStock returnChina’s A-share market
spellingShingle Danni Wu
Zhenkun Zhou
Zhi Su
Consumer negative opinions on stock returns: evidence from E-commerce reviews in China
Financial Innovation
E-commerce reviews
Consumer opinions
Stock return
China’s A-share market
title Consumer negative opinions on stock returns: evidence from E-commerce reviews in China
title_full Consumer negative opinions on stock returns: evidence from E-commerce reviews in China
title_fullStr Consumer negative opinions on stock returns: evidence from E-commerce reviews in China
title_full_unstemmed Consumer negative opinions on stock returns: evidence from E-commerce reviews in China
title_short Consumer negative opinions on stock returns: evidence from E-commerce reviews in China
title_sort consumer negative opinions on stock returns evidence from e commerce reviews in china
topic E-commerce reviews
Consumer opinions
Stock return
China’s A-share market
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00746-9
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AT zhenkunzhou consumernegativeopinionsonstockreturnsevidencefromecommercereviewsinchina
AT zhisu consumernegativeopinionsonstockreturnsevidencefromecommercereviewsinchina