The current and future cancer burden in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries

Abstract Background Cancer is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. This study aims to provide cancer incidence and mortality estimates in 2020 in the GCC countries alongside future projections for 2040 to shape cancer control policy in the regio...

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Main Authors: Saleh A. Alessy, Saleh A. Alqahtani, Jerome Vignat, Amid Abuhmaidan, Amani E. L. Basmi, Najla Al Lawati, Ameera Ali A‐Nooh, Wael Shelpai, Samar Alhomoud, Ali Al‐Zahrani, Freddie Bray, Ariana Znaor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-09-01
Series:Cancer Medicine
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.70141
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author Saleh A. Alessy
Saleh A. Alqahtani
Jerome Vignat
Amid Abuhmaidan
Amani E. L. Basmi
Najla Al Lawati
Ameera Ali A‐Nooh
Wael Shelpai
Samar Alhomoud
Ali Al‐Zahrani
Freddie Bray
Ariana Znaor
author_facet Saleh A. Alessy
Saleh A. Alqahtani
Jerome Vignat
Amid Abuhmaidan
Amani E. L. Basmi
Najla Al Lawati
Ameera Ali A‐Nooh
Wael Shelpai
Samar Alhomoud
Ali Al‐Zahrani
Freddie Bray
Ariana Znaor
author_sort Saleh A. Alessy
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Cancer is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. This study aims to provide cancer incidence and mortality estimates in 2020 in the GCC countries alongside future projections for 2040 to shape cancer control policy in the region. Methods The estimated numbers of new cancer cases and deaths were extracted from the GLOBOCAN database developed by the International Agency for Research on Cancer; new cancer cases, cancer deaths, and corresponding age‐standardized incidence and mortality rates for the year 2020 are presented. Results An estimated 42,475 new cancer cases and 19,895 deaths occurred in the GCC countries in 2020, with corresponding age‐standardized incidence and mortality rates of 96.5 and 52.3 per 100,000, respectively. Female breast (16%), colorectal (13%), and thyroid (9%) were the most common types of cancer in the GCC countries, accounting for almost 40% of all cancer incidence. Colorectal (14%) followed by breast cancer (9%) were the leading causes of cancer death, though the magnitude of rates of the major cancer types varied substantially across the GCC countries. Even if we assume rates in the region will remain unchanged over the next two decades, the cancer burden in the GCC will increase by 116% (Saudi Arabia) to 270% (Qatar), reaching nearly 104,000 cancer cases by the year 2040. Conclusion The sharp increase in the estimated cancer incidence and mortality predicted over the next decades in the region requires workforce and financial planning for the healthcare systems in the constituent countries, alongside broader strengthening of national cancer prevention and control efforts.
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spelling doaj-art-7f4caa53148547e79d53cc16d27f1f3f2025-02-07T09:08:08ZengWileyCancer Medicine2045-76342024-09-011317n/an/a10.1002/cam4.70141The current and future cancer burden in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countriesSaleh A. Alessy0Saleh A. Alqahtani1Jerome Vignat2Amid Abuhmaidan3Amani E. L. Basmi4Najla Al Lawati5Ameera Ali A‐Nooh6Wael Shelpai7Samar Alhomoud8Ali Al‐Zahrani9Freddie Bray10Ariana Znaor11Public Health Department, College of Health Sciences Saudi Electronic University Riyadh Saudi ArabiaOrgan Transplant Center of Excellence King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center Riyadh Saudi ArabiaCancer Surveillance Branch The International Agency for Research on Cancer Lyon FranceQatar National Cancer Registry Doha QatarKuwait National Cancer Registry Kuwait City KuwaitOman National Cancer Registry Muscat OmanBahrain Cancer Registry Manama BahrainNational Cancer Registry Dubai United Arab EmiratesSection of Colorectal Surgery King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center Riyadh Saudi ArabiaDivision of Research & Innovation King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center Riyadh Saudi ArabiaCancer Surveillance Branch The International Agency for Research on Cancer Lyon FranceCancer Surveillance Branch The International Agency for Research on Cancer Lyon FranceAbstract Background Cancer is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. This study aims to provide cancer incidence and mortality estimates in 2020 in the GCC countries alongside future projections for 2040 to shape cancer control policy in the region. Methods The estimated numbers of new cancer cases and deaths were extracted from the GLOBOCAN database developed by the International Agency for Research on Cancer; new cancer cases, cancer deaths, and corresponding age‐standardized incidence and mortality rates for the year 2020 are presented. Results An estimated 42,475 new cancer cases and 19,895 deaths occurred in the GCC countries in 2020, with corresponding age‐standardized incidence and mortality rates of 96.5 and 52.3 per 100,000, respectively. Female breast (16%), colorectal (13%), and thyroid (9%) were the most common types of cancer in the GCC countries, accounting for almost 40% of all cancer incidence. Colorectal (14%) followed by breast cancer (9%) were the leading causes of cancer death, though the magnitude of rates of the major cancer types varied substantially across the GCC countries. Even if we assume rates in the region will remain unchanged over the next two decades, the cancer burden in the GCC will increase by 116% (Saudi Arabia) to 270% (Qatar), reaching nearly 104,000 cancer cases by the year 2040. Conclusion The sharp increase in the estimated cancer incidence and mortality predicted over the next decades in the region requires workforce and financial planning for the healthcare systems in the constituent countries, alongside broader strengthening of national cancer prevention and control efforts.https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.70141cancerepidemiologyGulf Cooperation Councilincidencemortalitypattern
spellingShingle Saleh A. Alessy
Saleh A. Alqahtani
Jerome Vignat
Amid Abuhmaidan
Amani E. L. Basmi
Najla Al Lawati
Ameera Ali A‐Nooh
Wael Shelpai
Samar Alhomoud
Ali Al‐Zahrani
Freddie Bray
Ariana Znaor
The current and future cancer burden in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries
Cancer Medicine
cancer
epidemiology
Gulf Cooperation Council
incidence
mortality
pattern
title The current and future cancer burden in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries
title_full The current and future cancer burden in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries
title_fullStr The current and future cancer burden in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries
title_full_unstemmed The current and future cancer burden in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries
title_short The current and future cancer burden in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries
title_sort current and future cancer burden in the gulf cooperation council gcc countries
topic cancer
epidemiology
Gulf Cooperation Council
incidence
mortality
pattern
url https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.70141
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