Controls on coastal saline groundwater across North America

Groundwater is crucial to sustaining coastal freshwater needs. About 32 million people in the coastal USA rely on groundwater as their primary water source. With rapidly growing coastal communities and increasing demands for fresh groundwater, understanding controls of continental-scale coastal grou...

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Main Authors: Daniel V Kretschmer, Holly A Michael, Nils Moosdorf, Gualbert H P Oude Essink, Marc F P Bierkens, Thorsten Wagener, Robert Reinecke
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ada973
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author Daniel V Kretschmer
Holly A Michael
Nils Moosdorf
Gualbert H P Oude Essink
Marc F P Bierkens
Thorsten Wagener
Robert Reinecke
author_facet Daniel V Kretschmer
Holly A Michael
Nils Moosdorf
Gualbert H P Oude Essink
Marc F P Bierkens
Thorsten Wagener
Robert Reinecke
author_sort Daniel V Kretschmer
collection DOAJ
description Groundwater is crucial to sustaining coastal freshwater needs. About 32 million people in the coastal USA rely on groundwater as their primary water source. With rapidly growing coastal communities and increasing demands for fresh groundwater, understanding controls of continental-scale coastal groundwater salinity is critical. To investigate what hydrogeological factors (e.g. topography, hydraulic conductivity) control coastal saline groundwater at continental scales, we have simulated variable-density groundwater flow across North America with the newly developed Global Gradient-based Groundwater Model with variable Densities (G ^3 M-D). The simulation results suggest that under a steady climate and pre-development conditions (i.e. steady 30-year mean groundwater recharge, no withdrawals nor sea level rise) saline groundwater is present in 18.6% of North America’s coastal zone, defined as up to 100 km inland and up to 100 m above mean sea level. We find that the coastal zone is particularly vulnerable to containing saline groundwater at low hydraulic gradients (<10 ^−4 ) and large hydraulic conductivities (>10 ^−2 m d ^−1 ). To analyze model parameter sensitivities, i.e. which parameters control the resulting distribution of saline groundwater, we utilize the inherent spatial model variability. We find that hydraulic gradient, topographic gradient, hydraulic conductivity, and aquifer depth are important controls in different places. However, no factor controls coastal groundwater salinization alone, suggesting that parameter interactions are important. Using G ^3 M-D based on G ^3 M, a model that previous work found to be strongly controlled by topography, we find no controlling influence of recharge variability on the saline groundwater distribution in North America. Despite a likely overestimation of saline interface movement, the model required 492 000 years to reach a near-steady state, indicating that the saline groundwater distribution in North America has likely been evolving since before the end of the last ice age, approximately 20 000 years ago.
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spelling doaj-art-8d233ee34db644aaa7aae8bbf923b5f52025-02-07T15:22:41ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262025-01-0120202406510.1088/1748-9326/ada973Controls on coastal saline groundwater across North AmericaDaniel V Kretschmer0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0115-1268Holly A Michael1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1107-7698Nils Moosdorf2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2822-8261Gualbert H P Oude Essink3https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0931-6944Marc F P Bierkens4https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7411-6562Thorsten Wagener5https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3881-5849Robert Reinecke6https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5699-8584Institute of Geography, Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz , Mainz, Germany; Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam , Potsdam, GermanyDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Delaware , Newark, DE, United States of AmericaLeibniz Centre for Tropical Marine Research (ZMT) , Bremen, Germany; Institute of Geosciences, University of Kiel , Kiel, GermanyUnit Subsurface and Groundwater Systems , Deltares, Utrecht, The Netherlands; Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University , Utrecht, The NetherlandsUnit Subsurface and Groundwater Systems , Deltares, Utrecht, The Netherlands; Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University , Utrecht, The NetherlandsInstitute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam , Potsdam, GermanyInstitute of Geography, Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz , Mainz, Germany; Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam , Potsdam, GermanyGroundwater is crucial to sustaining coastal freshwater needs. About 32 million people in the coastal USA rely on groundwater as their primary water source. With rapidly growing coastal communities and increasing demands for fresh groundwater, understanding controls of continental-scale coastal groundwater salinity is critical. To investigate what hydrogeological factors (e.g. topography, hydraulic conductivity) control coastal saline groundwater at continental scales, we have simulated variable-density groundwater flow across North America with the newly developed Global Gradient-based Groundwater Model with variable Densities (G ^3 M-D). The simulation results suggest that under a steady climate and pre-development conditions (i.e. steady 30-year mean groundwater recharge, no withdrawals nor sea level rise) saline groundwater is present in 18.6% of North America’s coastal zone, defined as up to 100 km inland and up to 100 m above mean sea level. We find that the coastal zone is particularly vulnerable to containing saline groundwater at low hydraulic gradients (<10 ^−4 ) and large hydraulic conductivities (>10 ^−2 m d ^−1 ). To analyze model parameter sensitivities, i.e. which parameters control the resulting distribution of saline groundwater, we utilize the inherent spatial model variability. We find that hydraulic gradient, topographic gradient, hydraulic conductivity, and aquifer depth are important controls in different places. However, no factor controls coastal groundwater salinization alone, suggesting that parameter interactions are important. Using G ^3 M-D based on G ^3 M, a model that previous work found to be strongly controlled by topography, we find no controlling influence of recharge variability on the saline groundwater distribution in North America. Despite a likely overestimation of saline interface movement, the model required 492 000 years to reach a near-steady state, indicating that the saline groundwater distribution in North America has likely been evolving since before the end of the last ice age, approximately 20 000 years ago.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ada973groundwater salinitycontinental groundwater modelvariable densitiesgroundwater modelcoastal zone
spellingShingle Daniel V Kretschmer
Holly A Michael
Nils Moosdorf
Gualbert H P Oude Essink
Marc F P Bierkens
Thorsten Wagener
Robert Reinecke
Controls on coastal saline groundwater across North America
Environmental Research Letters
groundwater salinity
continental groundwater model
variable densities
groundwater model
coastal zone
title Controls on coastal saline groundwater across North America
title_full Controls on coastal saline groundwater across North America
title_fullStr Controls on coastal saline groundwater across North America
title_full_unstemmed Controls on coastal saline groundwater across North America
title_short Controls on coastal saline groundwater across North America
title_sort controls on coastal saline groundwater across north america
topic groundwater salinity
continental groundwater model
variable densities
groundwater model
coastal zone
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ada973
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AT gualberthpoudeessink controlsoncoastalsalinegroundwateracrossnorthamerica
AT marcfpbierkens controlsoncoastalsalinegroundwateracrossnorthamerica
AT thorstenwagener controlsoncoastalsalinegroundwateracrossnorthamerica
AT robertreinecke controlsoncoastalsalinegroundwateracrossnorthamerica