Predicting the evolution of bacterial populations with an epistatic selection-mutation model

A general model, based on evolutionary first-order principles, is proposed and applied to the experimentally observed evolution of Escherichia coli in the long-term evolution experiment. It incorporates two recently noticed phenomena related to mutations: (i) the fact that the marginal im...

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Main Authors: Raul Donangelo, Hugo Fort
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Academia.edu Journals 2024-06-01
Series:Academia Biology
Online Access:https://www.academia.edu/121593869/Predicting_the_evolution_of_bacterial_populations_with_an_epistatic_selection_mutation_model
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author Raul Donangelo
Hugo Fort
author_facet Raul Donangelo
Hugo Fort
author_sort Raul Donangelo
collection DOAJ
description A general model, based on evolutionary first-order principles, is proposed and applied to the experimentally observed evolution of Escherichia coli in the long-term evolution experiment. It incorporates two recently noticed phenomena related to mutations: (i) the fact that the marginal improvement from a beneficial mutation declines with increasing fitness or diminishing returns epistasis and (ii) for some hypermutator variants, the mutation rate for the bacterial DNA undergoes a sudden increase by at least one order of magnitude. The model can simultaneously predict the experimental mean fitness trajectory, as well as other observables, such as the variance trajectory and the mean substitution trajectory, all through the 50,000 bacterial generations presently available.
format Article
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issn 2837-4010
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spelling doaj-art-92efc660bcde445eafd09c8ee37930442025-02-11T00:42:01ZengAcademia.edu JournalsAcademia Biology2837-40102024-06-012210.20935/AcadBiol6255Predicting the evolution of bacterial populations with an epistatic selection-mutation modelRaul Donangelo0Hugo Fort1Instituto de Física, Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad de la República, Montevideo 11300, Uruguay.Instituto de Física, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de la República, Montevideo 11400, Uruguay. A general model, based on evolutionary first-order principles, is proposed and applied to the experimentally observed evolution of Escherichia coli in the long-term evolution experiment. It incorporates two recently noticed phenomena related to mutations: (i) the fact that the marginal improvement from a beneficial mutation declines with increasing fitness or diminishing returns epistasis and (ii) for some hypermutator variants, the mutation rate for the bacterial DNA undergoes a sudden increase by at least one order of magnitude. The model can simultaneously predict the experimental mean fitness trajectory, as well as other observables, such as the variance trajectory and the mean substitution trajectory, all through the 50,000 bacterial generations presently available.https://www.academia.edu/121593869/Predicting_the_evolution_of_bacterial_populations_with_an_epistatic_selection_mutation_model
spellingShingle Raul Donangelo
Hugo Fort
Predicting the evolution of bacterial populations with an epistatic selection-mutation model
Academia Biology
title Predicting the evolution of bacterial populations with an epistatic selection-mutation model
title_full Predicting the evolution of bacterial populations with an epistatic selection-mutation model
title_fullStr Predicting the evolution of bacterial populations with an epistatic selection-mutation model
title_full_unstemmed Predicting the evolution of bacterial populations with an epistatic selection-mutation model
title_short Predicting the evolution of bacterial populations with an epistatic selection-mutation model
title_sort predicting the evolution of bacterial populations with an epistatic selection mutation model
url https://www.academia.edu/121593869/Predicting_the_evolution_of_bacterial_populations_with_an_epistatic_selection_mutation_model
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