Provenancing ancient materials with lead isotopes: overlap uncovered

Abstract Lead isotope analysis has been used to provenance metals such as lead, silver and bronze for many decades. Different approaches to interpret lead isotope ratios were proposed, and various limitations of the method have been discussed and addressed. Overlap in composition between different p...

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Main Authors: Sarah De Ceuster, Jurian Hoogewerff, Patrick Degryse
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-02-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-88909-1
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author Sarah De Ceuster
Jurian Hoogewerff
Patrick Degryse
author_facet Sarah De Ceuster
Jurian Hoogewerff
Patrick Degryse
author_sort Sarah De Ceuster
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Lead isotope analysis has been used to provenance metals such as lead, silver and bronze for many decades. Different approaches to interpret lead isotope ratios were proposed, and various limitations of the method have been discussed and addressed. Overlap in composition between different possible ore sources is always mentioned as a major limitation in lead isotope studies. However, it has never been comprehensively studied using a multivariate statistical approach. In this paper, the kernel density estimation (KDE) approach previously proposed by the authors is applied to calculate overlap between possible ore source regions. Firstly, the copper and lead ores of the same regions are compared, to assess if they are consistent and thus can be combined to increase sample size for provenance studies. Secondly, the pair-wise overlap between all the mining regions is calculated to determine if the distinction can actually be made between those ore fields. The use of one-dimensional KDE’s is very effective for calculation and assessment of the overlap between ore sources. This study argues that merging the lead and copper ore data might increase the reliability of a region’s KDE’s in most cases, but the overlap should be assessed beforehand. Furthermore, the study provides useful tools to verify for every pair of possible ore sources if it is theoretically possible to discriminate between them, and to what extent.
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spelling doaj-art-99132169855c4b77b845984618712ed42025-02-09T12:29:40ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-02-011511810.1038/s41598-025-88909-1Provenancing ancient materials with lead isotopes: overlap uncoveredSarah De Ceuster0Jurian Hoogewerff1Patrick Degryse2Department of Earth and Environmental Science, KU LeuvenFaculty of Sci & Tech, University of CanberraDepartment of Earth and Environmental Science, KU LeuvenAbstract Lead isotope analysis has been used to provenance metals such as lead, silver and bronze for many decades. Different approaches to interpret lead isotope ratios were proposed, and various limitations of the method have been discussed and addressed. Overlap in composition between different possible ore sources is always mentioned as a major limitation in lead isotope studies. However, it has never been comprehensively studied using a multivariate statistical approach. In this paper, the kernel density estimation (KDE) approach previously proposed by the authors is applied to calculate overlap between possible ore source regions. Firstly, the copper and lead ores of the same regions are compared, to assess if they are consistent and thus can be combined to increase sample size for provenance studies. Secondly, the pair-wise overlap between all the mining regions is calculated to determine if the distinction can actually be made between those ore fields. The use of one-dimensional KDE’s is very effective for calculation and assessment of the overlap between ore sources. This study argues that merging the lead and copper ore data might increase the reliability of a region’s KDE’s in most cases, but the overlap should be assessed beforehand. Furthermore, the study provides useful tools to verify for every pair of possible ore sources if it is theoretically possible to discriminate between them, and to what extent.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-88909-1ProvenancingLead isotope analysisKernel density estimateOre fieldDistribution overlap
spellingShingle Sarah De Ceuster
Jurian Hoogewerff
Patrick Degryse
Provenancing ancient materials with lead isotopes: overlap uncovered
Scientific Reports
Provenancing
Lead isotope analysis
Kernel density estimate
Ore field
Distribution overlap
title Provenancing ancient materials with lead isotopes: overlap uncovered
title_full Provenancing ancient materials with lead isotopes: overlap uncovered
title_fullStr Provenancing ancient materials with lead isotopes: overlap uncovered
title_full_unstemmed Provenancing ancient materials with lead isotopes: overlap uncovered
title_short Provenancing ancient materials with lead isotopes: overlap uncovered
title_sort provenancing ancient materials with lead isotopes overlap uncovered
topic Provenancing
Lead isotope analysis
Kernel density estimate
Ore field
Distribution overlap
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-88909-1
work_keys_str_mv AT sarahdeceuster provenancingancientmaterialswithleadisotopesoverlapuncovered
AT jurianhoogewerff provenancingancientmaterialswithleadisotopesoverlapuncovered
AT patrickdegryse provenancingancientmaterialswithleadisotopesoverlapuncovered