Early COVID-19 and protection from Omicron in a highly vaccinated population in Ontario, Canada: a matched prospective cohort study

Abstract Objectives Predictions regarding the on-going burden of SARS-CoV-2, and vaccine recommendations, require an understanding of infection-associated immune protection. We assessed whether early COVID-19 provided protection against Omicron infection. Methods We enrolled a cohort of adults in On...

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Main Authors: Altynay Shigayeva, Christopher Kandel, Lubna Farooqi, Zoe Zhong, Anne-Claude Gingras, Brenda L. Coleman, Lois Gilbert, Wayne L. Gold, Maria Major, Tony Mazzulli, Samira Mubareka, Jelena Vojicic, Jingyan Yang, Pingping Zhang, Catherine Martin, Moe H. Kyaw, John M. McLaughlin, Allison McGeer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-02-01
Series:BMC Infectious Diseases
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-024-10331-1
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author Altynay Shigayeva
Christopher Kandel
Lubna Farooqi
Zoe Zhong
Anne-Claude Gingras
Brenda L. Coleman
Lois Gilbert
Wayne L. Gold
Maria Major
Tony Mazzulli
Samira Mubareka
Jelena Vojicic
Jingyan Yang
Pingping Zhang
Catherine Martin
Moe H. Kyaw
John M. McLaughlin
Allison McGeer
author_facet Altynay Shigayeva
Christopher Kandel
Lubna Farooqi
Zoe Zhong
Anne-Claude Gingras
Brenda L. Coleman
Lois Gilbert
Wayne L. Gold
Maria Major
Tony Mazzulli
Samira Mubareka
Jelena Vojicic
Jingyan Yang
Pingping Zhang
Catherine Martin
Moe H. Kyaw
John M. McLaughlin
Allison McGeer
author_sort Altynay Shigayeva
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objectives Predictions regarding the on-going burden of SARS-CoV-2, and vaccine recommendations, require an understanding of infection-associated immune protection. We assessed whether early COVID-19 provided protection against Omicron infection. Methods We enrolled a cohort of adults in Ontario, Canada, with COVID-19 prior to October 2020 (early infection, EI), and a matched cohort with COVID-19 testing and a negative PCR (non-EI). Participants completed baseline surveys then surveys every two weeks until January 2023. Multivariable Cox regression was used to assess factors associated with COVID-19 infection during the first 14 months of Omicron. Results Overall, 624 EI (70%) and 175 (77%) non-EI participants met criteria for analysis; 590 (95%) EI and 164 (94%) non-EI had received at least 2 COVID-19 vaccine doses prior to Omicron. Of 624 EI, 175 (28%) had one SARS-CoV-2 re-infection and 8 (1.3%) had two, compared to 84 (48%) non-EI participants with one, 5 (2.9%) with two and 1 (0.6%) with 3 infections (P < 0.0001). In multivariable analysis of risk factors for Omicron infection, the overall hazard ratio (HR, 95%CI) associated with EI was 0.56 (0.43–0.74); HRs for BA.1/2, BA.4/5 and mixed BA.5/BQ.1/XBB periods were 0.66 (0.45–0.97), 0.44 (0.28–0.68) and 0.71 (0.32–1.56). EI and BA.1/2 infection combined reduced later Omicron infection (HR 0.07 (0.03–0.21) compared to no prior infection. Older age, non-White ethnicity, no children in household, and lower neighbourhood income were associated with reduced risk of infection. Conclusions In our highly vaccinated population, early SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with a 44% reduction in symptomatic COVID-19 during the first 14 months of Omicron, providing significant protection against re-infection for more than 2 years.
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language English
publishDate 2025-02-01
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series BMC Infectious Diseases
spelling doaj-art-a10a6c32c5704f6b8f8d7a20aed2fc1e2025-02-09T12:14:52ZengBMCBMC Infectious Diseases1471-23342025-02-0125111210.1186/s12879-024-10331-1Early COVID-19 and protection from Omicron in a highly vaccinated population in Ontario, Canada: a matched prospective cohort studyAltynay Shigayeva0Christopher Kandel1Lubna Farooqi2Zoe Zhong3Anne-Claude Gingras4Brenda L. Coleman5Lois Gilbert6Wayne L. Gold7Maria Major8Tony Mazzulli9Samira Mubareka10Jelena Vojicic11Jingyan Yang12Pingping Zhang13Catherine Martin14Moe H. Kyaw15John M. McLaughlin16Allison McGeer17Department of Microbiology, Sinai HealthMichael Garron Hospital, Toronto East Health NetworkDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai HealthDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai HealthLunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai HealthDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai HealthDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai HealthDepartment of Medicine, University of TorontoPfizer CanadaDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai HealthDepartment of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of TorontoPfizer CanadaPfizer IncPfizer IncPfizer IncPfizer IncPfizer IncDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai HealthAbstract Objectives Predictions regarding the on-going burden of SARS-CoV-2, and vaccine recommendations, require an understanding of infection-associated immune protection. We assessed whether early COVID-19 provided protection against Omicron infection. Methods We enrolled a cohort of adults in Ontario, Canada, with COVID-19 prior to October 2020 (early infection, EI), and a matched cohort with COVID-19 testing and a negative PCR (non-EI). Participants completed baseline surveys then surveys every two weeks until January 2023. Multivariable Cox regression was used to assess factors associated with COVID-19 infection during the first 14 months of Omicron. Results Overall, 624 EI (70%) and 175 (77%) non-EI participants met criteria for analysis; 590 (95%) EI and 164 (94%) non-EI had received at least 2 COVID-19 vaccine doses prior to Omicron. Of 624 EI, 175 (28%) had one SARS-CoV-2 re-infection and 8 (1.3%) had two, compared to 84 (48%) non-EI participants with one, 5 (2.9%) with two and 1 (0.6%) with 3 infections (P < 0.0001). In multivariable analysis of risk factors for Omicron infection, the overall hazard ratio (HR, 95%CI) associated with EI was 0.56 (0.43–0.74); HRs for BA.1/2, BA.4/5 and mixed BA.5/BQ.1/XBB periods were 0.66 (0.45–0.97), 0.44 (0.28–0.68) and 0.71 (0.32–1.56). EI and BA.1/2 infection combined reduced later Omicron infection (HR 0.07 (0.03–0.21) compared to no prior infection. Older age, non-White ethnicity, no children in household, and lower neighbourhood income were associated with reduced risk of infection. Conclusions In our highly vaccinated population, early SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with a 44% reduction in symptomatic COVID-19 during the first 14 months of Omicron, providing significant protection against re-infection for more than 2 years.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-024-10331-1SARS-CoV-2 infectionCOVID-19VaccinationRe-infection
spellingShingle Altynay Shigayeva
Christopher Kandel
Lubna Farooqi
Zoe Zhong
Anne-Claude Gingras
Brenda L. Coleman
Lois Gilbert
Wayne L. Gold
Maria Major
Tony Mazzulli
Samira Mubareka
Jelena Vojicic
Jingyan Yang
Pingping Zhang
Catherine Martin
Moe H. Kyaw
John M. McLaughlin
Allison McGeer
Early COVID-19 and protection from Omicron in a highly vaccinated population in Ontario, Canada: a matched prospective cohort study
BMC Infectious Diseases
SARS-CoV-2 infection
COVID-19
Vaccination
Re-infection
title Early COVID-19 and protection from Omicron in a highly vaccinated population in Ontario, Canada: a matched prospective cohort study
title_full Early COVID-19 and protection from Omicron in a highly vaccinated population in Ontario, Canada: a matched prospective cohort study
title_fullStr Early COVID-19 and protection from Omicron in a highly vaccinated population in Ontario, Canada: a matched prospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Early COVID-19 and protection from Omicron in a highly vaccinated population in Ontario, Canada: a matched prospective cohort study
title_short Early COVID-19 and protection from Omicron in a highly vaccinated population in Ontario, Canada: a matched prospective cohort study
title_sort early covid 19 and protection from omicron in a highly vaccinated population in ontario canada a matched prospective cohort study
topic SARS-CoV-2 infection
COVID-19
Vaccination
Re-infection
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-024-10331-1
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