CMIP6-based global estimates of future aridity index and potential evapotranspiration for 2021-2060 [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations]
The “Future_Global_AI_PET Database” provides high-resolution (30 arc-seconds) average annual and monthly global estimates of potential evapotranspiration (PET) and aridity index (AI) for 22 CMIP6 Earth System Models for two future (2021–2041; 2041–2060) and two historical (1960–1990; 1970–2000) time...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
F1000 Research Ltd
2025-02-01
|
| Series: | Open Research Europe |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://open-research-europe.ec.europa.eu/articles/4-157/v2 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1825199971652075520 |
|---|---|
| author | Jianchu Xu Robert J. Zomer Antonio Trabucco Donatella Spano |
| author_facet | Jianchu Xu Robert J. Zomer Antonio Trabucco Donatella Spano |
| author_sort | Jianchu Xu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The “Future_Global_AI_PET Database” provides high-resolution (30 arc-seconds) average annual and monthly global estimates of potential evapotranspiration (PET) and aridity index (AI) for 22 CMIP6 Earth System Models for two future (2021–2041; 2041–2060) and two historical (1960–1990; 1970–2000) time periods, for each of four shared socio-economic pathways (SSP). Three multimodel ensemble averages are also provided (All; Majority Consensus, High Risk) with different level of risks linked to climate model uncertainty. An overview of the methodological approach, geospatial implementation and a technical evaluation of the results is provided. Historical results were compared for technical validation with weather station data (PET: r 2 = 0.72; AI: r 2 = 0.91) and the CRU_TS v 4.04 dataset (PET: r 2 = 0.67; AI: r 2 = 0.80). Within the context of projected significant change in the near- and medium-term, the “Future_Global_AI_PET Database” provides a set of data projections and tools available for a variety of scientific and practical applications, illustrating trends and magnitude of predicted climatic and eco-hydrological impacts on terrestrial ecosystems. The Future_Global_AI_PET Database is archived in the ScienceDB repository and available online at: https://doi.org/10.57760/sciencedb.nbsdc.00086 |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-a26cb8099a37451f816cb7df85f22c9b |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2732-5121 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-02-01 |
| publisher | F1000 Research Ltd |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Open Research Europe |
| spelling | doaj-art-a26cb8099a37451f816cb7df85f22c9b2025-02-08T01:00:00ZengF1000 Research LtdOpen Research Europe2732-51212025-02-01421154CMIP6-based global estimates of future aridity index and potential evapotranspiration for 2021-2060 [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations]Jianchu Xu0Robert J. Zomer1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2259-3359Antonio Trabucco2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0743-3680Donatella Spano3Center for Mountain Futures, Kunming Institute of Botany Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, Yunnan, ChinaCMCC Foundation -Euro-Mediterranean Center Climate Change, Sassari, Sardinia, ItalyCMCC Foundation -Euro-Mediterranean Center Climate Change, Sassari, Sardinia, ItalyCMCC Foundation -Euro-Mediterranean Center Climate Change, Sassari, Sardinia, ItalyThe “Future_Global_AI_PET Database” provides high-resolution (30 arc-seconds) average annual and monthly global estimates of potential evapotranspiration (PET) and aridity index (AI) for 22 CMIP6 Earth System Models for two future (2021–2041; 2041–2060) and two historical (1960–1990; 1970–2000) time periods, for each of four shared socio-economic pathways (SSP). Three multimodel ensemble averages are also provided (All; Majority Consensus, High Risk) with different level of risks linked to climate model uncertainty. An overview of the methodological approach, geospatial implementation and a technical evaluation of the results is provided. Historical results were compared for technical validation with weather station data (PET: r 2 = 0.72; AI: r 2 = 0.91) and the CRU_TS v 4.04 dataset (PET: r 2 = 0.67; AI: r 2 = 0.80). Within the context of projected significant change in the near- and medium-term, the “Future_Global_AI_PET Database” provides a set of data projections and tools available for a variety of scientific and practical applications, illustrating trends and magnitude of predicted climatic and eco-hydrological impacts on terrestrial ecosystems. The Future_Global_AI_PET Database is archived in the ScienceDB repository and available online at: https://doi.org/10.57760/sciencedb.nbsdc.00086https://open-research-europe.ec.europa.eu/articles/4-157/v2Hydrology Water Cycle Water Budget Ecohydrology Terrestrial Ecosystems Agroecosystemseng |
| spellingShingle | Jianchu Xu Robert J. Zomer Antonio Trabucco Donatella Spano CMIP6-based global estimates of future aridity index and potential evapotranspiration for 2021-2060 [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations] Open Research Europe Hydrology Water Cycle Water Budget Ecohydrology Terrestrial Ecosystems Agroecosystems eng |
| title | CMIP6-based global estimates of future aridity index and potential evapotranspiration for 2021-2060 [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations] |
| title_full | CMIP6-based global estimates of future aridity index and potential evapotranspiration for 2021-2060 [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations] |
| title_fullStr | CMIP6-based global estimates of future aridity index and potential evapotranspiration for 2021-2060 [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations] |
| title_full_unstemmed | CMIP6-based global estimates of future aridity index and potential evapotranspiration for 2021-2060 [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations] |
| title_short | CMIP6-based global estimates of future aridity index and potential evapotranspiration for 2021-2060 [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 2 approved with reservations] |
| title_sort | cmip6 based global estimates of future aridity index and potential evapotranspiration for 2021 2060 version 2 peer review 1 approved 2 approved with reservations |
| topic | Hydrology Water Cycle Water Budget Ecohydrology Terrestrial Ecosystems Agroecosystems eng |
| url | https://open-research-europe.ec.europa.eu/articles/4-157/v2 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT jianchuxu cmip6basedglobalestimatesoffuturearidityindexandpotentialevapotranspirationfor20212060version2peerreview1approved2approvedwithreservations AT robertjzomer cmip6basedglobalestimatesoffuturearidityindexandpotentialevapotranspirationfor20212060version2peerreview1approved2approvedwithreservations AT antoniotrabucco cmip6basedglobalestimatesoffuturearidityindexandpotentialevapotranspirationfor20212060version2peerreview1approved2approvedwithreservations AT donatellaspano cmip6basedglobalestimatesoffuturearidityindexandpotentialevapotranspirationfor20212060version2peerreview1approved2approvedwithreservations |