Effect of Coronavirus Disease 2019 on CO2 Emission in the World
Abstract In order to decrease spreading of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) over the world, the activity of many industries has declined, several flights were cancelled and so many people staying home that made drop in fuel consumption in road transport. As industries, transport networks and busi...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Springer
2020-05-01
|
| Series: | Aerosol and Air Quality Research |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.2020.04.0151 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1823862916664786944 |
|---|---|
| author | Sahar Safarian Runar Unnthorsson Christiaan Richter |
| author_facet | Sahar Safarian Runar Unnthorsson Christiaan Richter |
| author_sort | Sahar Safarian |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract In order to decrease spreading of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) over the world, the activity of many industries has declined, several flights were cancelled and so many people staying home that made drop in fuel consumption in road transport. As industries, transport networks and businesses have closed down, it has brought a sudden drop in carbon emissions. Hence, in this paper, a simple estimation model is developed by using some excel features to assess the reduced CO2 emissions in March 2020. Then this indicator is calculated for 3 scenarios which are based on this disease situation worldwide and therefore based on different reduction percent of fossil fuels consumption in various sectors over year 2020. In scenario 1, it is assumed the number of infected people increasing but it is before peak region. In this zone, the measures to slow the rate of infection would be similar till end of year. In scenario 2, the infectious growth rate in the world reaches to peak region. Hence, the protective measures would be extended. As a result, industries activities and various kinds of transportations will be probably reduced much more in comparison with scenario 1. In scenario 3, it is assumed the growth rate begins to fall and it is after peak region. In this zone, the intervention and protective measures would be lessened toward scenario 1. So, industries activities and transportations will be likely increased in compare to other scenarios. The results show that CO2 emissions worldwide in March 2020 has been 7% lower than the monthly average of this parameter in 2019 as consequence of COVID-19. Moreover, carbon emission through 2020 has been estimated to be 34.4, 32.4 and 35.3 Gton based on scenarios 1, 2 and 3, respectively. It is worth to mention that based on these three scenarios, this indicator in 2020 will be approximately the same as 2011, 2008 and 2012. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-a946660557424300b29c8aacd49e7c66 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1680-8584 2071-1409 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2020-05-01 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Aerosol and Air Quality Research |
| spelling | doaj-art-a946660557424300b29c8aacd49e7c662025-02-09T12:18:45ZengSpringerAerosol and Air Quality Research1680-85842071-14092020-05-012061197120310.4209/aaqr.2020.04.0151Effect of Coronavirus Disease 2019 on CO2 Emission in the WorldSahar Safarian0Runar Unnthorsson1Christiaan Richter2Faculty of Industrial Engineering, Mechanical Engineering and Computer Science, University of IcelandFaculty of Industrial Engineering, Mechanical Engineering and Computer Science, University of IcelandFaculty of Industrial Engineering, Mechanical Engineering and Computer Science, University of IcelandAbstract In order to decrease spreading of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) over the world, the activity of many industries has declined, several flights were cancelled and so many people staying home that made drop in fuel consumption in road transport. As industries, transport networks and businesses have closed down, it has brought a sudden drop in carbon emissions. Hence, in this paper, a simple estimation model is developed by using some excel features to assess the reduced CO2 emissions in March 2020. Then this indicator is calculated for 3 scenarios which are based on this disease situation worldwide and therefore based on different reduction percent of fossil fuels consumption in various sectors over year 2020. In scenario 1, it is assumed the number of infected people increasing but it is before peak region. In this zone, the measures to slow the rate of infection would be similar till end of year. In scenario 2, the infectious growth rate in the world reaches to peak region. Hence, the protective measures would be extended. As a result, industries activities and various kinds of transportations will be probably reduced much more in comparison with scenario 1. In scenario 3, it is assumed the growth rate begins to fall and it is after peak region. In this zone, the intervention and protective measures would be lessened toward scenario 1. So, industries activities and transportations will be likely increased in compare to other scenarios. The results show that CO2 emissions worldwide in March 2020 has been 7% lower than the monthly average of this parameter in 2019 as consequence of COVID-19. Moreover, carbon emission through 2020 has been estimated to be 34.4, 32.4 and 35.3 Gton based on scenarios 1, 2 and 3, respectively. It is worth to mention that based on these three scenarios, this indicator in 2020 will be approximately the same as 2011, 2008 and 2012.https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.2020.04.0151COVID-19CO2 emissionIndustriesRoad transportAviation transport |
| spellingShingle | Sahar Safarian Runar Unnthorsson Christiaan Richter Effect of Coronavirus Disease 2019 on CO2 Emission in the World Aerosol and Air Quality Research COVID-19 CO2 emission Industries Road transport Aviation transport |
| title | Effect of Coronavirus Disease 2019 on CO2 Emission in the World |
| title_full | Effect of Coronavirus Disease 2019 on CO2 Emission in the World |
| title_fullStr | Effect of Coronavirus Disease 2019 on CO2 Emission in the World |
| title_full_unstemmed | Effect of Coronavirus Disease 2019 on CO2 Emission in the World |
| title_short | Effect of Coronavirus Disease 2019 on CO2 Emission in the World |
| title_sort | effect of coronavirus disease 2019 on co2 emission in the world |
| topic | COVID-19 CO2 emission Industries Road transport Aviation transport |
| url | https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.2020.04.0151 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT saharsafarian effectofcoronavirusdisease2019onco2emissionintheworld AT runarunnthorsson effectofcoronavirusdisease2019onco2emissionintheworld AT christiaanrichter effectofcoronavirusdisease2019onco2emissionintheworld |