Determinant of Financial Distress on The Retail Public Companies: Indonesia Case

Background: The retail sector plays a significant role in the Indonesian economy. According to data from Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) in 2020, the retail sector contributed 12.93% to Indonesia's total Gross Domestic Product (GDP). However, results from the Retail Sales (SPE) survey by Bank Indon...

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Main Authors: Audry Arsyila Utomo, Noer Azam Achsani, Aruddy
Format: Article
Language:Indonesian
Published: Bogor Agricultural University 2025-01-01
Series:Jurnal Aplikasi Bisnis dan Manajemen
Online Access:https://journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jabm/article/view/62147
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author Audry Arsyila Utomo
Noer Azam Achsani
Aruddy
author_facet Audry Arsyila Utomo
Noer Azam Achsani
Aruddy
author_sort Audry Arsyila Utomo
collection DOAJ
description Background: The retail sector plays a significant role in the Indonesian economy. According to data from Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) in 2020, the retail sector contributed 12.93% to Indonesia's total Gross Domestic Product (GDP). However, results from the Retail Sales (SPE) survey by Bank Indonesia indicated a downward trend in the average annual growth of real sales for retail from 2015 to 2020. A decline in sales can lead to a decrease in income. The company's inability to balance income and costs raises the potential for financial distress. Purpose: This research aims to study which financial factors may influence financial distress. Design/Methodology/Approach: The observation period is from 2017 to 2021. This research uses the Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) as a proxy for financial distress. This research also employs a binary logistic model to identify which financial factors influence financial distress. Findings/Result: Logistic regression analysis revealed that Return on Equity (ROE) has a negative and significant effect on the DSCR value with a coefficient of -15.066. Equity-to-Total Assets ratio (EQ/TA) also has a negative and significant effect on financial distress with a coefficient of -5.042. Conclusion: The results emphasize the importance of consistent management of company performance, particularly by monitoring financial ratios that significantly affect the likelihood of financial distress. Originality/value(State of the art): This research offers new insights into the impact of financial ratios on financial distress, specifically within the context of the retail sector experiencing economic uncertainty during the COVID-19 pandemic. It is focusing on a critical period and a specific sector, thereby providing valuable contributions to stakeholders such as investors, company management, and policy makers. Keywords: DSCR, financial distress, financial ratios, logistic regression, company management
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spelling doaj-art-aef4542a3ef24d5d837acaab1ba4c58b2025-02-07T08:02:42ZindBogor Agricultural UniversityJurnal Aplikasi Bisnis dan Manajemen2528-51492460-78192025-01-01111353510.17358/jabm.11.1.3562147Determinant of Financial Distress on The Retail Public Companies: Indonesia CaseAudry Arsyila Utomo0Noer Azam Achsani1Aruddy2School of Business, IPB University, IndonesiaSchool of Business, IPB University, IndonesiaSchool of Business, IPB University, IndonesiaBackground: The retail sector plays a significant role in the Indonesian economy. According to data from Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) in 2020, the retail sector contributed 12.93% to Indonesia's total Gross Domestic Product (GDP). However, results from the Retail Sales (SPE) survey by Bank Indonesia indicated a downward trend in the average annual growth of real sales for retail from 2015 to 2020. A decline in sales can lead to a decrease in income. The company's inability to balance income and costs raises the potential for financial distress. Purpose: This research aims to study which financial factors may influence financial distress. Design/Methodology/Approach: The observation period is from 2017 to 2021. This research uses the Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) as a proxy for financial distress. This research also employs a binary logistic model to identify which financial factors influence financial distress. Findings/Result: Logistic regression analysis revealed that Return on Equity (ROE) has a negative and significant effect on the DSCR value with a coefficient of -15.066. Equity-to-Total Assets ratio (EQ/TA) also has a negative and significant effect on financial distress with a coefficient of -5.042. Conclusion: The results emphasize the importance of consistent management of company performance, particularly by monitoring financial ratios that significantly affect the likelihood of financial distress. Originality/value(State of the art): This research offers new insights into the impact of financial ratios on financial distress, specifically within the context of the retail sector experiencing economic uncertainty during the COVID-19 pandemic. It is focusing on a critical period and a specific sector, thereby providing valuable contributions to stakeholders such as investors, company management, and policy makers. Keywords: DSCR, financial distress, financial ratios, logistic regression, company managementhttps://journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jabm/article/view/62147
spellingShingle Audry Arsyila Utomo
Noer Azam Achsani
Aruddy
Determinant of Financial Distress on The Retail Public Companies: Indonesia Case
Jurnal Aplikasi Bisnis dan Manajemen
title Determinant of Financial Distress on The Retail Public Companies: Indonesia Case
title_full Determinant of Financial Distress on The Retail Public Companies: Indonesia Case
title_fullStr Determinant of Financial Distress on The Retail Public Companies: Indonesia Case
title_full_unstemmed Determinant of Financial Distress on The Retail Public Companies: Indonesia Case
title_short Determinant of Financial Distress on The Retail Public Companies: Indonesia Case
title_sort determinant of financial distress on the retail public companies indonesia case
url https://journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jabm/article/view/62147
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AT noerazamachsani determinantoffinancialdistressontheretailpubliccompaniesindonesiacase
AT aruddy determinantoffinancialdistressontheretailpubliccompaniesindonesiacase