Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect M&A Operations? Evidence from the Brazilian Market

The objective of this work was to investigate the effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Mergers and Acquisitions operations of listed companies in Brazil. For this purpose, we have run a binomial logistic regression model to verify the impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the propensity for M...

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Main Authors: Alexandre Teixeira Norberto Batista, Wagner Moura Lamounier, Poueri do Carmo Mário
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: FUCAPE Business School 2023-01-01
Series:BBR: Brazilian Business Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123075339002
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author Alexandre Teixeira Norberto Batista
Wagner Moura Lamounier
Poueri do Carmo Mário
author_facet Alexandre Teixeira Norberto Batista
Wagner Moura Lamounier
Poueri do Carmo Mário
author_sort Alexandre Teixeira Norberto Batista
collection DOAJ
description The objective of this work was to investigate the effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Mergers and Acquisitions operations of listed companies in Brazil. For this purpose, we have run a binomial logistic regression model to verify the impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the propensity for Mergers and Acquisitions in the following year. Using a sample of 128 publicly traded non-financial companies, from 2010 to 2018, we identified that Economic Policy Uncertainty reduces the propensity of acquiring firms to engage in Mergers and Acquisitions activities. The alternative metric used as a proxy for uncertainty, the Economic Uncertainty Indicator - Brazil, was not statistically significant. The results are consistent with international evidence. This study proposes a hybrid model that can be used to estimate the propensity for Mergers and Acquisitions in other contexts. Furthermore, it contributes to a series of emerging discussions on factors triggered by economic policy uncertainty that can alter the dynamics of corporate decisions.
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series BBR: Brazilian Business Review
spelling doaj-art-c858df3955e24f2594dcaa3a343efb7e2025-02-06T23:39:34ZengFUCAPE Business SchoolBBR: Brazilian Business Review1807-734X2023-01-01202133156http://dx.doi.org/10.15728/bbr.2023.20.2.2.ptDoes Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect M&A Operations? Evidence from the Brazilian MarketAlexandre Teixeira Norberto BatistaWagner Moura LamounierPoueri do Carmo MárioThe objective of this work was to investigate the effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Mergers and Acquisitions operations of listed companies in Brazil. For this purpose, we have run a binomial logistic regression model to verify the impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the propensity for Mergers and Acquisitions in the following year. Using a sample of 128 publicly traded non-financial companies, from 2010 to 2018, we identified that Economic Policy Uncertainty reduces the propensity of acquiring firms to engage in Mergers and Acquisitions activities. The alternative metric used as a proxy for uncertainty, the Economic Uncertainty Indicator - Brazil, was not statistically significant. The results are consistent with international evidence. This study proposes a hybrid model that can be used to estimate the propensity for Mergers and Acquisitions in other contexts. Furthermore, it contributes to a series of emerging discussions on factors triggered by economic policy uncertainty that can alter the dynamics of corporate decisions.http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123075339002corporate investmentsreal optionspolitical uncertainty
spellingShingle Alexandre Teixeira Norberto Batista
Wagner Moura Lamounier
Poueri do Carmo Mário
Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect M&A Operations? Evidence from the Brazilian Market
BBR: Brazilian Business Review
corporate investments
real options
political uncertainty
title Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect M&A Operations? Evidence from the Brazilian Market
title_full Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect M&A Operations? Evidence from the Brazilian Market
title_fullStr Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect M&A Operations? Evidence from the Brazilian Market
title_full_unstemmed Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect M&A Operations? Evidence from the Brazilian Market
title_short Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect M&A Operations? Evidence from the Brazilian Market
title_sort does economic policy uncertainty affect m a operations evidence from the brazilian market
topic corporate investments
real options
political uncertainty
url http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123075339002
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AT poueridocarmomario doeseconomicpolicyuncertaintyaffectmaoperationsevidencefromthebrazilianmarket