A new probabilistic model with simulation study: Its practical implementations using the energy consumption in urban planning

Methods based on probability make use of data sets to recognize patterns, evaluate potential outcomes, and predict various scenarios. These methods are often empirically utilized to analyze data sets, with a particular focus on data sets related to energy. The rapid urbanization in China has led to...

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Main Authors: Jiayi Zhang, Shensheng Chen, Tmader Alballa, Laila A. AL-Essa, Haifa Alqahtani, Hamiden Abd El-Wahed Khalifa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:Alexandria Engineering Journal
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1110016824014522
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author Jiayi Zhang
Shensheng Chen
Tmader Alballa
Laila A. AL-Essa
Haifa Alqahtani
Hamiden Abd El-Wahed Khalifa
author_facet Jiayi Zhang
Shensheng Chen
Tmader Alballa
Laila A. AL-Essa
Haifa Alqahtani
Hamiden Abd El-Wahed Khalifa
author_sort Jiayi Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Methods based on probability make use of data sets to recognize patterns, evaluate potential outcomes, and predict various scenarios. These methods are often empirically utilized to analyze data sets, with a particular focus on data sets related to energy. The rapid urbanization in China has led to an increase in the share of residential energy consumption in the overall energy consumption. Given the importance of probability-based methods in the energy sector, this paper introduces the weighted very flexible Weibull (WVF-Weibull) distribution as a novel probability distribution. We provide the point estimators and simulation studies carried out under various parameter settings. Finally, the WVF-Weibull distribution is implemented to examine the energy consumption data collected from the urban regions of China. Through the examination of six statistical tools, it has been established that the WVF-Weibull distribution is the optimal model among various probability distributions for energy consumption data.
format Article
id doaj-art-c9cf693311a54a5492efbf839aef42c3
institution Kabale University
issn 1110-0168
language English
publishDate 2025-02-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Alexandria Engineering Journal
spelling doaj-art-c9cf693311a54a5492efbf839aef42c32025-02-07T04:47:04ZengElsevierAlexandria Engineering Journal1110-01682025-02-01113218226A new probabilistic model with simulation study: Its practical implementations using the energy consumption in urban planningJiayi Zhang0Shensheng Chen1Tmader Alballa2Laila A. AL-Essa3Haifa Alqahtani4Hamiden Abd El-Wahed Khalifa5College of Landscape Architecture, Zhejiang A&F University, Hangzhou 311300, Zhejiang, ChinaInstitute of Ecological Civilization, Zhejiang A&F University, Hangzhou, 311300, Zhejiang, China; Rural Revitalization Academy of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang A&F University, Hangzhou 311300, China; Corresponding author.Department of Mathematics, College of Sciences, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh 11671, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Mathematics, College of Sciences, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh 11671, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Statistics and Business Analytics, United Arab Emirates University, Al Ain 15551, Abu Dhabi, United Arab EmiratesDepartment of Mathematics, College of Science, Qassim University, Buraydah 51452, Saudi ArabiaMethods based on probability make use of data sets to recognize patterns, evaluate potential outcomes, and predict various scenarios. These methods are often empirically utilized to analyze data sets, with a particular focus on data sets related to energy. The rapid urbanization in China has led to an increase in the share of residential energy consumption in the overall energy consumption. Given the importance of probability-based methods in the energy sector, this paper introduces the weighted very flexible Weibull (WVF-Weibull) distribution as a novel probability distribution. We provide the point estimators and simulation studies carried out under various parameter settings. Finally, the WVF-Weibull distribution is implemented to examine the energy consumption data collected from the urban regions of China. Through the examination of six statistical tools, it has been established that the WVF-Weibull distribution is the optimal model among various probability distributions for energy consumption data.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1110016824014522Very flexible Weibull distributionWeighted T-X distributional approachEnergy consumptionUrban planningData setStatistical modeling
spellingShingle Jiayi Zhang
Shensheng Chen
Tmader Alballa
Laila A. AL-Essa
Haifa Alqahtani
Hamiden Abd El-Wahed Khalifa
A new probabilistic model with simulation study: Its practical implementations using the energy consumption in urban planning
Alexandria Engineering Journal
Very flexible Weibull distribution
Weighted T-X distributional approach
Energy consumption
Urban planning
Data set
Statistical modeling
title A new probabilistic model with simulation study: Its practical implementations using the energy consumption in urban planning
title_full A new probabilistic model with simulation study: Its practical implementations using the energy consumption in urban planning
title_fullStr A new probabilistic model with simulation study: Its practical implementations using the energy consumption in urban planning
title_full_unstemmed A new probabilistic model with simulation study: Its practical implementations using the energy consumption in urban planning
title_short A new probabilistic model with simulation study: Its practical implementations using the energy consumption in urban planning
title_sort new probabilistic model with simulation study its practical implementations using the energy consumption in urban planning
topic Very flexible Weibull distribution
Weighted T-X distributional approach
Energy consumption
Urban planning
Data set
Statistical modeling
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1110016824014522
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