Modeling Public Opinion Over Time and Space: Trust in State Institutions in Europe, 1989-2019
Combining public opinion data from different sources enables new cross-national and longitudinal research, but is accompanied by unique challenges. The analytic strategy we propose relies on Bayesian explanatory item response theory models to address differences in the measurement of attitudes, and...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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European Survey Research Association
2024-04-01
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| Series: | Survey Research Methods |
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| Online Access: | https://ojs.ub.uni-konstanz.de/srm/article/view/8119 |
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| _version_ | 1823861430415261696 |
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| author | Marta Kołczyńska Paul-Christian Bürkner Lauren Kennedy Aki Vehtari |
| author_facet | Marta Kołczyńska Paul-Christian Bürkner Lauren Kennedy Aki Vehtari |
| author_sort | Marta Kołczyńska |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
Combining public opinion data from different sources enables new cross-national and longitudinal research, but is accompanied by unique challenges. The analytic strategy we propose relies on Bayesian explanatory item response theory models to address differences in the measurement of attitudes, and poststratification that uses administrative population data to
improve the quality of estimates and correct for differences in sample representativeness. Partially pooled models with data from all countries would be prohibitively slow, so we estimate separate by-country models in a way that maintains comparability of estimates across countries. We apply this strategy to data from 13 cross-national research projects from 27 European countries to estimate trajectories of political trust between 1989-2019.
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| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-d2cdbce4275f4605bc91f60673cc4d09 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1864-3361 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-04-01 |
| publisher | European Survey Research Association |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Survey Research Methods |
| spelling | doaj-art-d2cdbce4275f4605bc91f60673cc4d092025-02-09T14:16:11ZengEuropean Survey Research AssociationSurvey Research Methods1864-33612024-04-01181Modeling Public Opinion Over Time and Space: Trust in State Institutions in Europe, 1989-2019Marta Kołczyńska0Paul-Christian Bürkner1Lauren Kennedy2Aki Vehtari3Institute of Political Studies of the Polish Academy of SciencesCluster of Excellence SimTech, University of StuttgartEconometrics and Business Statistics, Monash UniversityDepartment of Computer Science, Aalto University Combining public opinion data from different sources enables new cross-national and longitudinal research, but is accompanied by unique challenges. The analytic strategy we propose relies on Bayesian explanatory item response theory models to address differences in the measurement of attitudes, and poststratification that uses administrative population data to improve the quality of estimates and correct for differences in sample representativeness. Partially pooled models with data from all countries would be prohibitively slow, so we estimate separate by-country models in a way that maintains comparability of estimates across countries. We apply this strategy to data from 13 cross-national research projects from 27 European countries to estimate trajectories of political trust between 1989-2019. https://ojs.ub.uni-konstanz.de/srm/article/view/8119political trustBayesian modelssplinesitem response theorypoststratification |
| spellingShingle | Marta Kołczyńska Paul-Christian Bürkner Lauren Kennedy Aki Vehtari Modeling Public Opinion Over Time and Space: Trust in State Institutions in Europe, 1989-2019 Survey Research Methods political trust Bayesian models splines item response theory poststratification |
| title | Modeling Public Opinion Over Time and Space: Trust in State Institutions in Europe, 1989-2019 |
| title_full | Modeling Public Opinion Over Time and Space: Trust in State Institutions in Europe, 1989-2019 |
| title_fullStr | Modeling Public Opinion Over Time and Space: Trust in State Institutions in Europe, 1989-2019 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Modeling Public Opinion Over Time and Space: Trust in State Institutions in Europe, 1989-2019 |
| title_short | Modeling Public Opinion Over Time and Space: Trust in State Institutions in Europe, 1989-2019 |
| title_sort | modeling public opinion over time and space trust in state institutions in europe 1989 2019 |
| topic | political trust Bayesian models splines item response theory poststratification |
| url | https://ojs.ub.uni-konstanz.de/srm/article/view/8119 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT martakołczynska modelingpublicopinionovertimeandspacetrustinstateinstitutionsineurope19892019 AT paulchristianburkner modelingpublicopinionovertimeandspacetrustinstateinstitutionsineurope19892019 AT laurenkennedy modelingpublicopinionovertimeandspacetrustinstateinstitutionsineurope19892019 AT akivehtari modelingpublicopinionovertimeandspacetrustinstateinstitutionsineurope19892019 |