Limitations of Separating Athletes into High or Low-Risk Groups based on a Cut-Off. A Clinical Commentary

# Background Athlete injury risk assessment and management is an important, yet challenging task for sport and exercise medicine professionals. A common approach to injury risk screening is to stratify athletes into risk groups based on their performance on a test relative to a cut-off threshold. H...

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Main Authors: Justin M. Losciale, Linda K. Truong, Patrick Ward, Gary S. Collins, Garrett S. Bullock
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: North American Sports Medicine Institute 2024-09-01
Series:International Journal of Sports Physical Therapy
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.26603/001c.122644
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author Justin M. Losciale
Linda K. Truong
Patrick Ward
Gary S. Collins
Garrett S. Bullock
author_facet Justin M. Losciale
Linda K. Truong
Patrick Ward
Gary S. Collins
Garrett S. Bullock
author_sort Justin M. Losciale
collection DOAJ
description # Background Athlete injury risk assessment and management is an important, yet challenging task for sport and exercise medicine professionals. A common approach to injury risk screening is to stratify athletes into risk groups based on their performance on a test relative to a cut-off threshold. However, one potential reason for ineffective injury prevention efforts is the over-reliance on identifying these ‘at-risk’ groups using arbitrary cut-offs for these tests and measures. The purpose of this commentary is to discuss the conceptual and technical issues related to the use of a cut-off in both research and clinical practice. # Clinical Question How can we better assess and interpret clinical tests or measures to enable a more effective injury risk assessment in athletes? # Key Results Cut-offs typically lack strong biologic plausibility to support them; and are typically derived in a data-driven manner and thus not generalizable to other samples. When a cut-off is used in analyses, information is lost, leading to potentially misleading results and less accurate injury risk prediction. Dichotomizing a continuous variable using a cut-off should be avoided. Using continuous variables on its original scale is advantageous because information is not discarded, outcome prediction accuracy is not lost, and personalized medicine can be facilitated. # Clinical Application Researchers and clinicians are encouraged to analyze and interpret the results of tests and measures using continuous variables and avoid relying on singular cut-offs to guide decisions. Injury risk can be predicted more accurately when using continuous variables in their natural form. A more accurate risk prediction will facilitate personalized approaches to injury risk mitigation and may lead to a decline in injury rates. # Level of Evidence 5
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spelling doaj-art-d8d7a6faa1d64cfaa22f4e335753efa22025-02-11T20:27:35ZengNorth American Sports Medicine InstituteInternational Journal of Sports Physical Therapy2159-28962024-09-01199Limitations of Separating Athletes into High or Low-Risk Groups based on a Cut-Off. A Clinical CommentaryJustin M. LoscialeLinda K. TruongPatrick WardGary S. CollinsGarrett S. Bullock# Background Athlete injury risk assessment and management is an important, yet challenging task for sport and exercise medicine professionals. A common approach to injury risk screening is to stratify athletes into risk groups based on their performance on a test relative to a cut-off threshold. However, one potential reason for ineffective injury prevention efforts is the over-reliance on identifying these ‘at-risk’ groups using arbitrary cut-offs for these tests and measures. The purpose of this commentary is to discuss the conceptual and technical issues related to the use of a cut-off in both research and clinical practice. # Clinical Question How can we better assess and interpret clinical tests or measures to enable a more effective injury risk assessment in athletes? # Key Results Cut-offs typically lack strong biologic plausibility to support them; and are typically derived in a data-driven manner and thus not generalizable to other samples. When a cut-off is used in analyses, information is lost, leading to potentially misleading results and less accurate injury risk prediction. Dichotomizing a continuous variable using a cut-off should be avoided. Using continuous variables on its original scale is advantageous because information is not discarded, outcome prediction accuracy is not lost, and personalized medicine can be facilitated. # Clinical Application Researchers and clinicians are encouraged to analyze and interpret the results of tests and measures using continuous variables and avoid relying on singular cut-offs to guide decisions. Injury risk can be predicted more accurately when using continuous variables in their natural form. A more accurate risk prediction will facilitate personalized approaches to injury risk mitigation and may lead to a decline in injury rates. # Level of Evidence 5https://doi.org/10.26603/001c.122644
spellingShingle Justin M. Losciale
Linda K. Truong
Patrick Ward
Gary S. Collins
Garrett S. Bullock
Limitations of Separating Athletes into High or Low-Risk Groups based on a Cut-Off. A Clinical Commentary
International Journal of Sports Physical Therapy
title Limitations of Separating Athletes into High or Low-Risk Groups based on a Cut-Off. A Clinical Commentary
title_full Limitations of Separating Athletes into High or Low-Risk Groups based on a Cut-Off. A Clinical Commentary
title_fullStr Limitations of Separating Athletes into High or Low-Risk Groups based on a Cut-Off. A Clinical Commentary
title_full_unstemmed Limitations of Separating Athletes into High or Low-Risk Groups based on a Cut-Off. A Clinical Commentary
title_short Limitations of Separating Athletes into High or Low-Risk Groups based on a Cut-Off. A Clinical Commentary
title_sort limitations of separating athletes into high or low risk groups based on a cut off a clinical commentary
url https://doi.org/10.26603/001c.122644
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