Probabilistic slope stability analysis on marine clay seabed considering spatial variability of soil parameters

Determining the failure probabilities of submarine slopes over long distances is crucial for assessing slope stability, given the randomness of soil parameters. Based on the theory of stochastic fields and the method of limit equilibrium, this study introduces a quantitative method that incorporates...

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Main Authors: Long Yu, Yang Bao, Kunming Ma, Yunrui Han, Yibin Yan, Bin Xu, Zhongtao Wang, Rui Pang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Built Environment
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fbuil.2025.1545900/full
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author Long Yu
Yang Bao
Kunming Ma
Yunrui Han
Yibin Yan
Bin Xu
Zhongtao Wang
Rui Pang
author_facet Long Yu
Yang Bao
Kunming Ma
Yunrui Han
Yibin Yan
Bin Xu
Zhongtao Wang
Rui Pang
author_sort Long Yu
collection DOAJ
description Determining the failure probabilities of submarine slopes over long distances is crucial for assessing slope stability, given the randomness of soil parameters. Based on the theory of stochastic fields and the method of limit equilibrium, this study introduces a quantitative method that incorporates spatial variability of soil parameters to evaluate submarine slope stability. Assuming a linear increase in undrained strength with depth, the slope stability is estimated under static loading derived from nonstationary random fields, and the effect of a weak layer on the slope stability is also analyzed. This study show that ignores the spatial variability of the soil parameters significantly overestimate the performance for the slope stability. In conclusion, the lower and upper ends of the probability index range are found to have great significance in practical engineering design. The combination of traditional deterministic slope analysis and probabilistic assessments will be beneficial to slope engineering practice and will improve the decision-making process.
format Article
id doaj-art-d90855623dde4c8b8b104ca0801426d4
institution Kabale University
issn 2297-3362
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format Article
series Frontiers in Built Environment
spelling doaj-art-d90855623dde4c8b8b104ca0801426d42025-02-07T09:50:18ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Built Environment2297-33622025-01-011110.3389/fbuil.2025.15459001545900Probabilistic slope stability analysis on marine clay seabed considering spatial variability of soil parametersLong Yu0Yang Bao1Kunming Ma2Yunrui Han3Yibin Yan4Bin Xu5Zhongtao Wang6Rui Pang7School of Civil Engineering and State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering and State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaOffshore Oil Engineering Co., Ltd., Tianjin, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering and State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering and State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering and State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering and State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering and State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaDetermining the failure probabilities of submarine slopes over long distances is crucial for assessing slope stability, given the randomness of soil parameters. Based on the theory of stochastic fields and the method of limit equilibrium, this study introduces a quantitative method that incorporates spatial variability of soil parameters to evaluate submarine slope stability. Assuming a linear increase in undrained strength with depth, the slope stability is estimated under static loading derived from nonstationary random fields, and the effect of a weak layer on the slope stability is also analyzed. This study show that ignores the spatial variability of the soil parameters significantly overestimate the performance for the slope stability. In conclusion, the lower and upper ends of the probability index range are found to have great significance in practical engineering design. The combination of traditional deterministic slope analysis and probabilistic assessments will be beneficial to slope engineering practice and will improve the decision-making process.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fbuil.2025.1545900/fullsubmarine slopesspatial variabilityrandom fieldscale of fluctuationreliability index
spellingShingle Long Yu
Yang Bao
Kunming Ma
Yunrui Han
Yibin Yan
Bin Xu
Zhongtao Wang
Rui Pang
Probabilistic slope stability analysis on marine clay seabed considering spatial variability of soil parameters
Frontiers in Built Environment
submarine slopes
spatial variability
random field
scale of fluctuation
reliability index
title Probabilistic slope stability analysis on marine clay seabed considering spatial variability of soil parameters
title_full Probabilistic slope stability analysis on marine clay seabed considering spatial variability of soil parameters
title_fullStr Probabilistic slope stability analysis on marine clay seabed considering spatial variability of soil parameters
title_full_unstemmed Probabilistic slope stability analysis on marine clay seabed considering spatial variability of soil parameters
title_short Probabilistic slope stability analysis on marine clay seabed considering spatial variability of soil parameters
title_sort probabilistic slope stability analysis on marine clay seabed considering spatial variability of soil parameters
topic submarine slopes
spatial variability
random field
scale of fluctuation
reliability index
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fbuil.2025.1545900/full
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AT yunruihan probabilisticslopestabilityanalysisonmarineclayseabedconsideringspatialvariabilityofsoilparameters
AT yibinyan probabilisticslopestabilityanalysisonmarineclayseabedconsideringspatialvariabilityofsoilparameters
AT binxu probabilisticslopestabilityanalysisonmarineclayseabedconsideringspatialvariabilityofsoilparameters
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