Prognostic Modeling for Bone Sarcomas Based on a Large Prospective Cohort From a Tertiary Care Cancer Center in India

PURPOSEOutcomes of adolescents and young adults (AYA) with bone sarcomas including osteosarcoma (OGS) and Ewing sarcoma (ES) are affected by various factors including inadvertent previous treatment and poor compliance. We aimed to develop a risk-scoring system derived and validated at a tertiary car...

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Main Authors: Jyoti Bajpai, Laboni Sarkar, Sushmita Rath, Akash Pawar, Arun Chandrashekharan, Goutam Panda, Dharmpal Jakar, Jaya Ghosh, Siddhartha Laskar, Bharat Rekhi, Nehal Khanna, Jifmi Jose, Mukta Ramdawar, Nilendu Purandare, Prabhat Bhargava, Nivedita Chakrabarty, Kunal Gala, Yogesh Kembhavi, Venkatesh Rangarajan, Shripad Banavali, Sudeep Gupta
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Society of Clinical Oncology 2025-02-01
Series:JCO Global Oncology
Online Access:https://ascopubs.org/doi/10.1200/GO.24.00142
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author Jyoti Bajpai
Laboni Sarkar
Sushmita Rath
Akash Pawar
Arun Chandrashekharan
Goutam Panda
Dharmpal Jakar
Jaya Ghosh
Siddhartha Laskar
Bharat Rekhi
Nehal Khanna
Jifmi Jose
Mukta Ramdawar
Nilendu Purandare
Prabhat Bhargava
Nivedita Chakrabarty
Kunal Gala
Yogesh Kembhavi
Venkatesh Rangarajan
Shripad Banavali
Sudeep Gupta
author_facet Jyoti Bajpai
Laboni Sarkar
Sushmita Rath
Akash Pawar
Arun Chandrashekharan
Goutam Panda
Dharmpal Jakar
Jaya Ghosh
Siddhartha Laskar
Bharat Rekhi
Nehal Khanna
Jifmi Jose
Mukta Ramdawar
Nilendu Purandare
Prabhat Bhargava
Nivedita Chakrabarty
Kunal Gala
Yogesh Kembhavi
Venkatesh Rangarajan
Shripad Banavali
Sudeep Gupta
author_sort Jyoti Bajpai
collection DOAJ
description PURPOSEOutcomes of adolescents and young adults (AYA) with bone sarcomas including osteosarcoma (OGS) and Ewing sarcoma (ES) are affected by various factors including inadvertent previous treatment and poor compliance. We aimed to develop a risk-scoring system derived and validated at a tertiary care cancer center in India.METHODSAll AYA OGS and ES cases treated at our institute with OGS-12 and Ewing’s family of tumors-2001 (EFT-2001) protocols from 2011 to 2021 and 2013 to 2018, respectively, were prospectively analyzed. Weighted scores provided to each prognostic variable on the basis of approximate ratios of the beta coefficients of each factor in the multivariable model were summated to divide patients into three clinically discriminatory risk groups, validated by applying separately to derivation, validation, and whole cohorts.RESULTSAmong 606 (81.0%) of 748 AYA with nonmetastatic OGS, significant factors included in the prognostic model were failure to complete protocol (hazard ratio [HR], 2.65), previous treatment (HR, 2.93), necrosis <90% (HR, 1.63), joint involvement (HR, 2.0), and serum alkaline phosphatase >median (204 U/L; HR, 1.63). Of 104 (39.5%) of 263 AYA with ES, significant factors were failure to complete protocol (HR, 2.84), previous treatment (HR, 6.37), necrosis <100% (HR, 8.73), and tumor size >8 cm (HR, 2.64). For 142 (38.8%) of 366 AYA with metastatic OGS, significant factors were failure to complete protocol (HR, 5.29), metastases not amenable to local treatment (HR, 1.96), necrosis <90% (HR, 1.96), and >10 metastases (HR, 2.44). For 38 (43.6%) of 82 AYA with metastatic extremity ES, significant factors were failure to complete protocol (HR, 3.88) and metastases not amenable to local treatment (HR, 10.6).CONCLUSIONWe developed simple, effective prognostic models for AYA with bone sarcomas with specific potential relevance for low- and middle-income countries.
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spelling doaj-art-ed50965d73524ee18515154eb5180e9e2025-02-06T20:59:09ZengAmerican Society of Clinical OncologyJCO Global Oncology2687-89412025-02-011110.1200/GO.24.00142Prognostic Modeling for Bone Sarcomas Based on a Large Prospective Cohort From a Tertiary Care Cancer Center in IndiaJyoti Bajpai0Laboni Sarkar1Sushmita Rath2Akash Pawar3Arun Chandrashekharan4Goutam Panda5Dharmpal Jakar6Jaya Ghosh7Siddhartha Laskar8Bharat Rekhi9Nehal Khanna10Jifmi Jose11Mukta Ramdawar12Nilendu Purandare13Prabhat Bhargava14Nivedita Chakrabarty15Kunal Gala16Yogesh Kembhavi17Venkatesh Rangarajan18Shripad Banavali19Sudeep Gupta20Department of Medical Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Biostatistics, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Pathology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Pathology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Radiodiagnosis, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Radiodiagnosis, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Tata Memorial Centre, Homi Bhabha National Institute (HBNI), Mumbai, IndiaPURPOSEOutcomes of adolescents and young adults (AYA) with bone sarcomas including osteosarcoma (OGS) and Ewing sarcoma (ES) are affected by various factors including inadvertent previous treatment and poor compliance. We aimed to develop a risk-scoring system derived and validated at a tertiary care cancer center in India.METHODSAll AYA OGS and ES cases treated at our institute with OGS-12 and Ewing’s family of tumors-2001 (EFT-2001) protocols from 2011 to 2021 and 2013 to 2018, respectively, were prospectively analyzed. Weighted scores provided to each prognostic variable on the basis of approximate ratios of the beta coefficients of each factor in the multivariable model were summated to divide patients into three clinically discriminatory risk groups, validated by applying separately to derivation, validation, and whole cohorts.RESULTSAmong 606 (81.0%) of 748 AYA with nonmetastatic OGS, significant factors included in the prognostic model were failure to complete protocol (hazard ratio [HR], 2.65), previous treatment (HR, 2.93), necrosis <90% (HR, 1.63), joint involvement (HR, 2.0), and serum alkaline phosphatase >median (204 U/L; HR, 1.63). Of 104 (39.5%) of 263 AYA with ES, significant factors were failure to complete protocol (HR, 2.84), previous treatment (HR, 6.37), necrosis <100% (HR, 8.73), and tumor size >8 cm (HR, 2.64). For 142 (38.8%) of 366 AYA with metastatic OGS, significant factors were failure to complete protocol (HR, 5.29), metastases not amenable to local treatment (HR, 1.96), necrosis <90% (HR, 1.96), and >10 metastases (HR, 2.44). For 38 (43.6%) of 82 AYA with metastatic extremity ES, significant factors were failure to complete protocol (HR, 3.88) and metastases not amenable to local treatment (HR, 10.6).CONCLUSIONWe developed simple, effective prognostic models for AYA with bone sarcomas with specific potential relevance for low- and middle-income countries.https://ascopubs.org/doi/10.1200/GO.24.00142
spellingShingle Jyoti Bajpai
Laboni Sarkar
Sushmita Rath
Akash Pawar
Arun Chandrashekharan
Goutam Panda
Dharmpal Jakar
Jaya Ghosh
Siddhartha Laskar
Bharat Rekhi
Nehal Khanna
Jifmi Jose
Mukta Ramdawar
Nilendu Purandare
Prabhat Bhargava
Nivedita Chakrabarty
Kunal Gala
Yogesh Kembhavi
Venkatesh Rangarajan
Shripad Banavali
Sudeep Gupta
Prognostic Modeling for Bone Sarcomas Based on a Large Prospective Cohort From a Tertiary Care Cancer Center in India
JCO Global Oncology
title Prognostic Modeling for Bone Sarcomas Based on a Large Prospective Cohort From a Tertiary Care Cancer Center in India
title_full Prognostic Modeling for Bone Sarcomas Based on a Large Prospective Cohort From a Tertiary Care Cancer Center in India
title_fullStr Prognostic Modeling for Bone Sarcomas Based on a Large Prospective Cohort From a Tertiary Care Cancer Center in India
title_full_unstemmed Prognostic Modeling for Bone Sarcomas Based on a Large Prospective Cohort From a Tertiary Care Cancer Center in India
title_short Prognostic Modeling for Bone Sarcomas Based on a Large Prospective Cohort From a Tertiary Care Cancer Center in India
title_sort prognostic modeling for bone sarcomas based on a large prospective cohort from a tertiary care cancer center in india
url https://ascopubs.org/doi/10.1200/GO.24.00142
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