Review of Spot Electricity Price Prediction Studies Based on Machine Learning Methods

In the context of developing a unified national electricity market, the development of a spot market helps promote the sharing and optimal allocation of electricity resources on a larger scale. As important decision-making information for market participants, spot electricity prices are crucial for...

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Main Author: JIA Heping, GUO Yuchen, MA Qianxin, YANG Zhenglin, ZHENG Yaxian, ZENG Dan, LIU Dunnan
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Department of Electric Power Construction 2025-02-01
Series:Dianli jianshe
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Online Access:https://www.cepc.com.cn/fileup/1000-7229/PDF/1738997592061-910732370.pdf
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author JIA Heping, GUO Yuchen, MA Qianxin, YANG Zhenglin, ZHENG Yaxian, ZENG Dan, LIU Dunnan
author_facet JIA Heping, GUO Yuchen, MA Qianxin, YANG Zhenglin, ZHENG Yaxian, ZENG Dan, LIU Dunnan
author_sort JIA Heping, GUO Yuchen, MA Qianxin, YANG Zhenglin, ZHENG Yaxian, ZENG Dan, LIU Dunnan
collection DOAJ
description In the context of developing a unified national electricity market, the development of a spot market helps promote the sharing and optimal allocation of electricity resources on a larger scale. As important decision-making information for market participants, spot electricity prices are crucial for auxiliary decision-making in the spot market, market operation monitoring, and risk management. The rapid development of machine learning methods provided a feasible approach for electricity price prediction. This study first analyzed the characteristics of spot electricity prices and their influence on the unified national electricity market. The types of prediction models and challenges faced by spot electricity price prediction can be elaborated based on existing research on electricity price prediction mechanisms. In addition, based on the characteristics of data labeling, feature extraction and data flow control, the research status of various machine learning prediction models was summarized, and the characteristics and applicability of different prediction models were analyzed. This study then analyzed the evaluation criteria for spot electricity price prediction models based on machine learning, and summarized the model hyperparameter training requirements and the practical application of relevant prediction methods. Finally, in view of the challenges of machine learning methods in electricity price prediction research, this study outlined future research directions to provide constructive references for the development of the spot market under the construction of a unified national electricity market.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1000-7229
language zho
publishDate 2025-02-01
publisher Editorial Department of Electric Power Construction
record_format Article
series Dianli jianshe
spelling doaj-art-fc7661314a1a4ea9bb4c667f96b74ceb2025-02-10T09:54:54ZzhoEditorial Department of Electric Power ConstructionDianli jianshe1000-72292025-02-0146216017910.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2025.02.014Review of Spot Electricity Price Prediction Studies Based on Machine Learning MethodsJIA Heping, GUO Yuchen, MA Qianxin, YANG Zhenglin, ZHENG Yaxian, ZENG Dan, LIU Dunnan01. Beijing Key Laboratory of New Energy and Low-Carbon Development, Beijing 102206, China;2. School of Economics & Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China;3. China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing 100192, ChinaIn the context of developing a unified national electricity market, the development of a spot market helps promote the sharing and optimal allocation of electricity resources on a larger scale. As important decision-making information for market participants, spot electricity prices are crucial for auxiliary decision-making in the spot market, market operation monitoring, and risk management. The rapid development of machine learning methods provided a feasible approach for electricity price prediction. This study first analyzed the characteristics of spot electricity prices and their influence on the unified national electricity market. The types of prediction models and challenges faced by spot electricity price prediction can be elaborated based on existing research on electricity price prediction mechanisms. In addition, based on the characteristics of data labeling, feature extraction and data flow control, the research status of various machine learning prediction models was summarized, and the characteristics and applicability of different prediction models were analyzed. This study then analyzed the evaluation criteria for spot electricity price prediction models based on machine learning, and summarized the model hyperparameter training requirements and the practical application of relevant prediction methods. Finally, in view of the challenges of machine learning methods in electricity price prediction research, this study outlined future research directions to provide constructive references for the development of the spot market under the construction of a unified national electricity market.https://www.cepc.com.cn/fileup/1000-7229/PDF/1738997592061-910732370.pdfnational unified electricity market|spot market|electricity price forecasting|machine learning methods
spellingShingle JIA Heping, GUO Yuchen, MA Qianxin, YANG Zhenglin, ZHENG Yaxian, ZENG Dan, LIU Dunnan
Review of Spot Electricity Price Prediction Studies Based on Machine Learning Methods
Dianli jianshe
national unified electricity market|spot market|electricity price forecasting|machine learning methods
title Review of Spot Electricity Price Prediction Studies Based on Machine Learning Methods
title_full Review of Spot Electricity Price Prediction Studies Based on Machine Learning Methods
title_fullStr Review of Spot Electricity Price Prediction Studies Based on Machine Learning Methods
title_full_unstemmed Review of Spot Electricity Price Prediction Studies Based on Machine Learning Methods
title_short Review of Spot Electricity Price Prediction Studies Based on Machine Learning Methods
title_sort review of spot electricity price prediction studies based on machine learning methods
topic national unified electricity market|spot market|electricity price forecasting|machine learning methods
url https://www.cepc.com.cn/fileup/1000-7229/PDF/1738997592061-910732370.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT jiahepingguoyuchenmaqianxinyangzhenglinzhengyaxianzengdanliudunnan reviewofspotelectricitypricepredictionstudiesbasedonmachinelearningmethods