An AI-based approach to predict delivery outcome based on measurable factors of pregnant mothers.

The desire for safer delivery mode that preserves the lives of both mother and child with minimal or no complications before, during and after childbirth is the wish for every expectant mother and their families. However, the choice for any particular delivery mode is supposedly influenced by a numb...

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Main Authors: Michael Owusu-Adjei, James Ben Hayfron-Acquah, Twum Frimpong, Abdul-Salaam Gaddafi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-02-01
Series:PLOS Digital Health
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pdig.0000543
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author Michael Owusu-Adjei
James Ben Hayfron-Acquah
Twum Frimpong
Abdul-Salaam Gaddafi
author_facet Michael Owusu-Adjei
James Ben Hayfron-Acquah
Twum Frimpong
Abdul-Salaam Gaddafi
author_sort Michael Owusu-Adjei
collection DOAJ
description The desire for safer delivery mode that preserves the lives of both mother and child with minimal or no complications before, during and after childbirth is the wish for every expectant mother and their families. However, the choice for any particular delivery mode is supposedly influenced by a number of factors that leads to the ultimate decision of choice. Some of the factors identified include maternal birth history, maternal and child health conditions prevailing before and during labor onset. Predictive modeling has been used extensively to determine important contributory factors or artifacts influencing delivery choice in related research studies. However, missing among a myriad of features used in various research studies for this determination is maternal history of spontaneous, threatened and inevitable abortion(s). How its inclusion impacts delivery outcome has not been covered in extensive research work. This research work therefore takes measurable maternal features that include real time information on administered partographs to predict delivery outcome. This is achieved by adopting effective feature selection technique to estimate variable relationships with the target variable. Three supervised learning techniques are used and evaluated for performance. Prediction accuracy score of area under the curve obtained show Gradient Boosting classifier achieved 91% accuracy, Logistic Regression 93% and Random Forest 91%. Balanced accuracy score obtained for these techniques were; Gradient Boosting 82.73%, Logistic Regression 84.62% and Random Forest 83.02%. Correlation statistic for variable independence among input variables showed that delivery outcome type as an output is associated with fetal gestational age and the progress of maternal cervix dilatation during labor onset.
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publishDate 2025-02-01
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spelling doaj-art-dbd084a78827489b8eb9e08f3e2d58be2025-02-12T05:31:24ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLOS Digital Health2767-31702025-02-0142e000054310.1371/journal.pdig.0000543An AI-based approach to predict delivery outcome based on measurable factors of pregnant mothers.Michael Owusu-AdjeiJames Ben Hayfron-AcquahTwum FrimpongAbdul-Salaam GaddafiThe desire for safer delivery mode that preserves the lives of both mother and child with minimal or no complications before, during and after childbirth is the wish for every expectant mother and their families. However, the choice for any particular delivery mode is supposedly influenced by a number of factors that leads to the ultimate decision of choice. Some of the factors identified include maternal birth history, maternal and child health conditions prevailing before and during labor onset. Predictive modeling has been used extensively to determine important contributory factors or artifacts influencing delivery choice in related research studies. However, missing among a myriad of features used in various research studies for this determination is maternal history of spontaneous, threatened and inevitable abortion(s). How its inclusion impacts delivery outcome has not been covered in extensive research work. This research work therefore takes measurable maternal features that include real time information on administered partographs to predict delivery outcome. This is achieved by adopting effective feature selection technique to estimate variable relationships with the target variable. Three supervised learning techniques are used and evaluated for performance. Prediction accuracy score of area under the curve obtained show Gradient Boosting classifier achieved 91% accuracy, Logistic Regression 93% and Random Forest 91%. Balanced accuracy score obtained for these techniques were; Gradient Boosting 82.73%, Logistic Regression 84.62% and Random Forest 83.02%. Correlation statistic for variable independence among input variables showed that delivery outcome type as an output is associated with fetal gestational age and the progress of maternal cervix dilatation during labor onset.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pdig.0000543
spellingShingle Michael Owusu-Adjei
James Ben Hayfron-Acquah
Twum Frimpong
Abdul-Salaam Gaddafi
An AI-based approach to predict delivery outcome based on measurable factors of pregnant mothers.
PLOS Digital Health
title An AI-based approach to predict delivery outcome based on measurable factors of pregnant mothers.
title_full An AI-based approach to predict delivery outcome based on measurable factors of pregnant mothers.
title_fullStr An AI-based approach to predict delivery outcome based on measurable factors of pregnant mothers.
title_full_unstemmed An AI-based approach to predict delivery outcome based on measurable factors of pregnant mothers.
title_short An AI-based approach to predict delivery outcome based on measurable factors of pregnant mothers.
title_sort ai based approach to predict delivery outcome based on measurable factors of pregnant mothers
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pdig.0000543
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